Happy Halloween
I hate it when real life gets in the way of my weather. I have some house cleaning to do "Blog Wise" and will post some weather events from the last couple of weeks shortly. For now have a very Safe and Happy Halloween. The weather in both Saskatchewan and in the east, Ontario and Quebec, will be fair and fairly mild with just a slight chance of showers in Ontario. Have fun.....

Wilma moved across south Florida - billions in damage
Nova Scotia to receive strong winds/rain
Heavy Snow for New England
Hurricane Wilma is truly a tale of two storms. After meandering over Mexico for days the storm has rocketed northeasterly across Florida in a couple of hours, and into the Atlantic. The storm was a strong Cat 3 at landfall. The storm will now take aim at the Canadian Maratimes today. The timing is that poor weather will develop by daybreak today and spread north. High Wind Warnings and Heavy Rain Warnings are in effect for Coastal Nova Scotia and New Brunswick. The storm will remain well offshore but will interact with a developing Nor'Easter to produce abundant moisture and gusty winds from the coast west into eastern Ontario. Heavy rain from 60mm plus is expected in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick as well as 80-110km/h winds. Also a coastal surge is expected from Boston northward towards Halifax.

If that was not enough, cold air working into the western flank of the storm will produce heavy snow across the Adirondack and Green Mountains. From 15-25cm could fall with flurries at the lower elevations. This is a remarkable storm......reminds me a little of the Halloween Nor'Easter of 1991.

Frost & Hurricanes
Just a couple of pictures to show you the contrast in the seasons between Hurricane Wilma over Cozumel and our First Frost in Kemptville. I had to scrape this morning, it makes me sad to see summer go.

The word SNOW is in the forecast for next week.......

At this hour Hurricane Wilma is slowly lashing Cozumel, Cancun and the Yucatan Peninsula.

Stay tuned......

Wilma nears Cozumel......
The eye of Hurricane Wilma is just about on the tiny resort island of Cozumel, Mexico......Hurricane conditons will be prolonged, as the storm is only moving at 6mph. Evacuations have begun is southwest coastal Florida including the Keys and Collier County.

884mb Pressure lowest ever recorded
Wilma explodes to Cat 5

I am amzed, just 36 hours ago Wilma was a tropical storm - she is now a cat 5 with winds howling to 175mph. The central pressure as recorded by NOAA Recon is 884mb...this still has to be verified but if accurate this will make Wilma the strongest storm ever to wander the Atlantic Basin.

All interests in Cuba the Yucatan of Mexico, Cayman Islands the Flordia Keys and south Florida should monitor Wilma closely.

I wil post new info later today....sb

Flood waters in New Hampshire

Flooding eases across Northeast & Quebec
Wilma becomes a Hurricane
Hurricane Wilma the 21st storm of 2005 has become a hurricane and is located south of Jamaica and the Caymen Islands at this hour. This Storm ties a record set in 1933. The storm is expected to strengthen into a major hurricane by the weekend and threaten south Florida from Tampa Bay south and east across the state. Interests in the southeast should also monitor the progress of the storm.
In Quebec, and the Northeast waters are receding after nearly a week of heavy rain. Anywhere from 100-400mm of rain fell over many areas with severe flooding reported. The hardest hit areas were New Jersey and New Hampshire. Twelve deaths were blamed on the storm.

Rain, Rain Go Away........

The rain continues to fall across Ontario, Quebec, New York and most of New England and the Northeast. In Kemptville another 25mm fell today. There is no risk of flooding, according to the Rideau Conservation Authority we are in a drought situation. That may have changed over the last week or so.

In New England the rain has claimed three lives in New Hampshire and has produced some of the worst flooding in decades from New Jersey north to Maine. The culprit is a deep plume of tropical moisture on a conveyor belt moving northwest across the open Atlantic and into our area. One look at the satellite map above shows the path.

Another 50-75mm could fall across all our areas through Saturday. Flood watches and warnings are in effect across southern New England and southeast New York.

Hurricane Vince hits Spain

The weather has cooled here in the east as a stationary front lying along the east coast draws moisture northward. Very heavy rain fell across the Maratimes this past weekend with the following totals measured:

ST JOHN ....... 142.0MM,FREDERICTON.... 93.7 MM, ST STEPHEN..... 135.5 MM, GRAND MANAN ... 225.4, MONCTON ....... 153.1 MM. Flooding was reported in both New Brunswick and Maine. Ten people died in flooding from the Carolinas to Maine.

Kemptville measured 64mm. Much colder air has arrived on northeast winds. The drizzle and fog is making it seem more miserable than our record heat. I have even had to turn the heat on in the house for the first time.

Over the weekend Hurricane Vince formed in the far eastern Atlantic. The storm moved inland over Spain. This was the first time in recorded history a named storm has hit this region.

Above: The picture above is a Halloween scene in the 27C degree record heat and haze of October 7th.

Hurricane Stan kills 66 in Mexico
Blizzard hits Dakotas/Manitoba -
Tammy forms in southeast US
As I drove around working today in shorts with the window rolled down, I realized we, here in the east, are living on borrowed time. Out west a fierce winter storm is hitting parts of Montana, the Dakotas, southeast Saskatchewan and Manitoba. Heavy snow in some cases over 30cm along with 50 to as high as 80km/h winds are occurring. Power lines and trees are snapping under the weight of the snow and high winds.

Meanwhile here in the east we are enjoying another day of record highs. It is 26C in Kemptville and Ottawa has tied another record for the third day.

Hurricane Stan came ashore near Vera Cruz Mexico with heavy rains and mudslides. More misery and death in this hurricane season.

Of interest to those of us in the east, Tropical Storm Tammy has developed east of the Florida coast. There is still plenty of uncertainty in her track but heavy rain and wind are expected as far north as the Carolinas. Interests from Florida to Nova Scotia should monitor the storm.

Above: The beautiful fall colors are starting to appear in Kemptville despite the 80 degree weather.

A SMOG ADVISORY* has been issued by the Ontario Ministry of the Environment for the following forecast regions:

For: Wednesday October 5, 2005 Algonquin Bancroft - Bon Echo Barrie - Orillia - Midland Brockville - Leeds and Grenville Burk's Falls - Bayfield Inlet - City of Ottawa - Cornwall - Morrisburg -Grey - Bruce Haliburton - North Bay - West Nipissing Parry Sound - Muskoka - Huntsville - Prescott and Russel -l Renfrew - Pembroke - Barry's Bay Smiths Falls - Lanark - Sharbot Lake Stirling - Tweed - South Frontenac

The SMOG ADVISORY for southwest Ontario and Toronto remains in effect.

Advisories will remain in effect until further notice. For more details visit the Air Quality Ontario website at: www.airqualityontario.com

During the smog episode, individuals may experience eye irritation. Heavy outdoor exercise may cause respiratory symptoms such as coughing or shortness of breath. People with heart or lung disease including asthma may experience a worsening of their condition.* A Smog Advisory means that there is a strong likelihood that there may be poor air quality within the next 24 hours due to ground-level ozone and/or fine particulate matter.

Spare the Air Actions
During a smog advisory, there are a number of actions that you can take to help spare the air. Travel tips - all year round: - leave your car at home - walk, cycle, carpool or take public transit - tele-conference instead of driving to meetings - limit car trips by doing all your errands at once, and do not let your engine idle - keep your car well tuned, check your tire pressure and drive at moderate speeds
Health tips: - avoid exposure to vehicle exhaust fumes - consult your doctor for specific health advice - wear light clothing at work while air conditioning is reduced - avoid strenuous exercise in the heat of the day
Electricity saving tips: - save electricity at home by setting your air conditioner temperature a few degrees higher (health permitting) and turning off lights you are not using
Other pollution reduction tips: - leave lawn mowing for another day - restrict the use of gasoline-powered equipment - delay using oil-based paints, solvents and cleaners.

Record warmth east - Snowstorm for Saskatchewan/Manitoba
While here in the east temperatures are soaring to near 30 with record highs being shattered including Ottawa's 26.3 yesterday, the west is preparing for a possible snowstorm. A Winter Strom Watch has been posted for portions of southern Manitoba and Saskatchewan. Winter Strom Warnings have been posted for North Dakota and Minnesota.

The heaviest snow will fall in a swath from central & southwest South Dakota across central North Dakota and into extreme southwest Saskatchewan and southern Manitoba. 10-20cm with 25-50km/h winds can be expected.

Meanwhile current temperature readings in the east are 27-30C across much of southern and eastern Ontario.