Friday, February 28, 2025

Another snowstorm on the way for winter-weary Montreal

February has been a very busy month for snow clearing crews in Montreal and across southern Quebec. They have been working long hours after 102.6cm of snow fell on the city this month, most of that over the last two weeks. More snow is on the way Friday night into Saturday, with 10-20cm forecast. (Photo: Ville de Montreal)

Winter weather travel advisory for the St. Lawrence Valley including Montreal.

Snowfall warning for the Ottawa Valley and the Laurentians

March is expected to roar in like a lion, with a period of heavy snow forecast for the region tonight and early Saturday. Accumulations of 10-20cm are possible. Travel will be difficult, with reduced visibility in falling and blowing snow. Gusty winds of 30-50km/h are forecast.

The weather certainly felt like spring for a few moments this week. Temperatures rose well-above freezing for the first time this month reaching 7C (45F) on Monday, along with some light rain. That was followed by 3 more days of above freezing temperatures, however winter has returned. We managed 6cm of wet snow on Thursday, bringing the monthly total to an incredible 102.6cm (40 inches). That amount is more than double the normal snowfall for February and represents nearly half of our average seasonal total.

THE NEXT STORM

A strong cold front has crossed the Montreal region early Friday morning, with our high of 1C (34F) reached around 3AM, temperatures have dropped rapidly since to the current reading of -10C (14F). Strong winds, up to 50km/h, are producing windchill values close to -20C. Winds will ease by midday, with temperatures settling in around -5C (23F) along with bright sunshine.

A strong Alberta Clipper low pressure will rapidly move southeast across the Great Lakes Friday, with clouds quickly filling back in this afternoon from west to east. The low will move very close to Montreal Saturday morning. Snow will spread east, arriving during the evening hours in Montreal, becoming heavy overnight. Storm accumulations of at least 10cm are forecast for Montreal, with 10 to 20cm possible north and west of the city. Those regions are under a snowfall warning. On Saturday, the high temperature will be reached early in the morning as a strong cold front associated with the storm arrives by midday. Temperatures will drop rapidly behind the front, along with increasing winds, the risk of snow squalls and blowing snow.

Skies will finally clear out late Saturday, allowing for a frigid night and cold Sunday. Lows will approach -20C (-4F) across southern Quebec by Sunday morning. The mercury will struggle to reach -12C (10F) on Sunday, along with bright, sunny skies.

The active weather pattern will continue next week, as another storm moves north from the Ohio Valley into the Ottawa Valley. This storm is expected to pass west of Montreal, allowing very warm air into the region. We are forecasting rain by Thursday. With area rivers frozen solid and tons of snow on the ground, the region will need to be closely monitored for the risk of flooding. 

Thankfully no injuries were reported this week after a 6-storey parking garage collapsed in downtown Ottawa due to the weight of heavy snow on the structures roof. Ottawa, like Montreal, had a very snowy and cold February, with 105.5cm reported. (Ottawa Fire Services)


Monday, February 24, 2025

Unsettled but mild end to February for Montreal

Milder temperatures will help melt away some of the 97cm of snow that has fallen on the Montreal region during the month of February. While we can expect a mild weather week ahead, it comes with persistent cloud cover and a mix of light rain and snow at times. Colder air and perhaps some snow arrive by next Saturday. (Valley Weather Photo)

Winter has certainly made up for lost time after getting off to a rather slow start in Montreal during the months of November and December. February has been a throwback month, with last Sunday's storm reminding me of the storms of my youth back in the 1970s.

So on that note, winter-weary Montrealers will get a break this week, but don't pack up the shovels just yet. Mild air is streaming across the country from west to east, finally bringing the Prairie's out of the deep freeze and warming Montreal above the freezing mark for the first time in three weeks. 

Clearing away some of the 75cm of snow that fell on Montreal between February 13-17. (Valley Weather Photo)

Stubborn cloud cover will linger most of the week, as several low-impact weather systems cross the province. We can expect periods of rain and snow mixed, with the liquid form dominating the daylight hours. No system is expected to produce much in the way of amounts, with just a couple of centimetres of snow and perhaps a few millimetres of rain expected.

The big news will be the temperatures. We can expect daytime highs in the plus 3C to 5C (38F to 41F) through Thursday, with overnight lows either side of the freezing point (0C). There is a chance for some fog on a few of the mornings. There may also be some icy spots, as any melting during the day will freeze up at night.

It is probably a good time to clear the snow away from downspouts and basement windows, as well as any outdoor vents or electrical outlets. The mild weather will last until late this week. Colder air, with perhaps a more significant low pressure area arrives by Saturday. We may be looking at measurable snow to start March. 

With the couple of centimetres of fresh snow that fell Sunday morning in Montreal, we have nudged the monthly total up to 97cm. Montreal measured at least a trace of precipitation on 19 of 23 days this month. As far as temperatures go, the mercury has been below freezing for 21 of 23 days, barely rising above 0C (32F) on February 6th and 7th. February 2nd had the coldest temperature of the winter to date at Trudeau Airport, with a morning low of -21.8C (-7F).

Wednesday, February 19, 2025

The calm after the storm in Montreal - winter 2024-25 by the numbers

The sun finally broke out across southern Quebec Wednesday morning, after frigid overnight lows around -20C. Winds were still gusty early this morning, producing cold wind chills, along with some drifting snow as seen above on Senneville Road, on the western tip of the island. (Valley Weather Photo)

We finally have some sunshine on Wednesday and the winds have finally eased off after three straight days of gusts over 50km/h. Temperatures have been frigid since the storm, with wind chill values in the minus 20s. Sunday's blizzard is long gone, but the big cleanup remains, and it has been a tough one. Roads have been clogged with deep snowbanks and sidewalks in many boroughs remain unplowed.

Once the snow ended on Monday, it was followed by strong winds that persisted into late Tuesday. Those winds generated widespread blowing snow, often covering roads soon after they were plowed.

Weary crews are finally starting to catch up and have started hauling away the tons and tons of snow that fell on the city. It is a long and difficult task as many cars remain buried in deep snow, slowing the process. The message is clear from the Ville de Montréal, if the orange signs are out, move your car or it will be towed and quickly.

On that note, exercise extreme caution while cleaning out your vehicle. A 57 year old man was found dead in his car on Tuesday in Parc-Extension, from carbon monoxide poisoning. The car was surrounded by deep snowbanks blocking the exhaust while he warmed his car. Make certain your exhaust is completely free of snow before you start the vehicle. Also verify that any drains or heat exhausts on your home are fee from ice and snow, as well as basement windows. 

Sunday's storm produced over 50 consecutive hours of blowing snow at Trudeau Airport, with six of those hours having true blizzard conditions, with visibilities under 400 metres. (Valley Weather Photo)

Winter 2024-2025 by the Numbers

So how does back-to-back storms in four days shape up historically? From early Thursday morning until Monday night, 74.6cm of snow fell on Montreal. That has only happened once before, in 1898 between January 19-22, when 72.4cm of snow fell. The nearly 75cm of snow almost matched the amount that fell for the entire season up to last Thursday, which was 76.5cm (November-December-January). It brings the monthly total to 95.4cm for February, and the seasonal total since October 1st to 171.9cm. The total for the entire winter of 2023-2024 was 173.2cm. With a couple of months worth of winter weather to go, we will easily surpass that amount.

While this winter has been much colder and snowier than last, it is not that unusual. What is making it seem far worse, is the consistent cold weather, with below freezing temperatures for long periods of time. In January, all but three days remained below freezing. So far in February, only 2 days have nudged above the freezing point, with highs of 0.6C and 0.4C.

So in the last 50 days, only 5 have had above freezing temperatures. As a result all the snow that has fallen is still on the ground. This trend is expected to continue to the end of this month. While no major storms are on the horizon, there will be some nuisance snow Thursday and again Sunday. The next bigger storm looks possible by the end of the month. For now, the good news is that temperatures will slowly warm, with highs close to 0C over the weekend.

Monday, February 17, 2025

Blowing snow - frigid weather behind latest storm

After back-to-back storms in Montreal, many vehicles remain buried Monday morning in deep snowbanks, some as high as 4 metres. Over 70cm of snow has fallen on the city since Thursday. Widespread blowing snow will make for extremely difficult travel on Monday, as winds gust to over 70km/h. (Valley Weather Photo) 

Blowing Snow Advisory for the St. Lawrence Valley

Our powerful winter storm is over northern Maine Monday morning as a 970mb low pressure (the lower the pressure - the stronger the storm). The lowest pressure at my home on Ile Perrot was 989mb. This deep low pressure system dumped 35 to 45cm of snow across southern Quebec, with a four day total from both storms in excess of 70cm (28 inches). During Sunday afternoon, the snow fell at times at a rate of 2 to 5cm per hour. Our total for the month of February to date has ballooned to 93.2cm at Trudeau Airport, more than November through January combined.

On Sunday, the heavy snow and strong winds produce true blizzard conditions for 6 hours at Trudeau Airport, with visibility under 400 metres. The visibility was under 1km for 9 hours at the airport. As a result numerous flights were delayed or cancelled, and delays remain Monday morning.

In 85 years of record keeping, Montreal has never had this much snow over a four day period. The roads are less than ideal Monday morning. While plowed, the snow is hard-packed and the intersections are icy. There have been numerous accidents and road closures over the last 24 hours. The commute was slow but steady, as many have a snow day in Monday, with most schools closed. Winds will gust to over 70km/h, as arctic high pressure to our west tries to move into the region. The winds will ease late in the day.

A frigid, windswept morning in Montreal after the strong storm on Sunday. (Valley Weather Photo)
The blowing snow is making for challenging driving conditions, especially off-island.

Frigid air is moving in behind the storm, with temperatures around -10C (14F) Monday, and lows down to -15C (5F). Windchill values will be in the minus 20s.

Conditions will slowly improve Tuesday, with thankfully no new storms on the horizon at this time.

Sunday, February 16, 2025

Blizzard Warning - Strong winter storm producing near-blizzard conditions in Montreal

Deneigement Mongrain is fighting the good fight in Notre-Dame-de-L'Ile-Perrot Sunday afternoon, trying to stay ahead of the heavy snow falling across the region. The winter storm warning remains in effect for the balance of the day across southern Quebec. Tavel is not advised.

Strong 982mb low pressure in western New York early Sunday afternoon will move south of Montreal today and into northern Maine on Monday. An area of heavy snow and strong winds is producing near-blizzard conditions in southern Quebec at Sunday afternoon, with visibility down to 0.2km at Trudeau Airport, with winds gusting to 63km/h. The pressure at the airport is falling rapidly, down to 997mb at 1pm.

The open roads are difficult this afternoon, with rapidly accumulating snow and strong winds producing whiteout conditions. The steady precipitation will persist into the evening hours in Montreal. Here on Ile Perrot, measuring the snow has proved difficult, as winds gust to 60km/h. With temperatures steady at -10C (14F). the light powdery snow is easily blown around. Depending on which ruler you prefer, I have between 8 and 15cm on the ground. The official total at Trudeau is 13cm as of  1pm. Much more will fall over the next few hours, with the snow depth increasing rapidly.

The storm in question is near Elmira, New York at noon, moving northeast across New England today while continuing to strengthen. Storm accumulations will be in the 25-40cm by Monday morning. The snow will become light tonight, but the wind will remain a problem on Monday, gusting from the west up to 70km/h.

With all the fresh powder on the ground, travel will continue to be difficult especially on open highways such as Highway 15 and 30 on the South Shore and Highway 20 to the Ontario border and northeast to Quebec City. Consider postponing any travel plans.

Conditions will improve Tuesday, however the weather will remain cold but dry.

Saturday, February 15, 2025

Winter storm warning remains in effect

Crews across the city and beyond are rushing to clear away the 34cm of snow that fell on Montreal on Thursday. While the city of Montreal is pouring all resources into snow removal, they will need to switch back to plowing and slating once the next storm begins. Many roads will not be cleaned in time, with another 30-45cm forecast Sunday. Travel will be very difficult Sunday into the Monday morning commute in Montreal. (Valley Weather Photo)

WINTER STORM WARNING UPDATE: Sunday, February 16

Radar is showing heavy snow to the south and west of the Montreal region moving northeast into southern Quebec. Expect the snow and winds to increase through midday, with near-blizzard conditions at times expected in the St. Lawrence Valley. So far around 5cm has fallen in Montreal, with storm totals approaching 40cm by Monday morning. Travel is not advised. 

Previous Post: Widespread winter storm warnings have been issued for most of southern Quebec, eastern and southern Ontario and adjacent New York and New England. Travel will be very difficult on Sunday in all regions.

Strengthening low pressure will deepen rapidly on Sunday while moving from the Ohio Valley towards upstate New York. The track will place southern Quebec in the ideal location for a significant snowstorm. The storms central pressure is forecast to drop close to 970mb across New York, producing heavy precipitation and strong winds along and north of the track. To the south, warmer air will rise over the cold air at the surface and produce areas of sleet and freezing rain in extreme southwest Ontario and central New York and New England.

For Montreal, snow will begin Saturday evening and be light at first, with 5 to 10cm expected overnight from the Ottawa Valley towards southern Quebec. On Sunday, the snow will increase in intensity during the morning, becoming heavy at times, along with strong northeast winds gusting to 60km/h. Expect significant blowing and drifting snow, along with very cold temperatures, remaining near -10C (14F) for the duration of the storm in Montreal. More snow is expected Sunday night, before precipitation tapers off to flurries on Monday. Winds will remain strong on Monday, up to 50km/h, with blowing snow continuing to be a problem on area roads. Many roads in Montreal are already clogged with the 34cm that fell on Thursday.

Total storm accumulations from this storm alone will range from 30 to 45cm across the region. Lesser amounts, 15 to 25cm can be expected along the international border, where some sleet may mix in.

Travel is not advised on Sunday. This story will be updated.

Friday, February 14, 2025

New stronger storm takes aim at Quebec and Ontario

Strong winds late Thursday afternoon produced significant blowing and drifting snow after 25 to 40cm fell across the Montreal region. Another major snowstorm is on the way for Sunday into Monday for southern Quebec. (Valley Weather Photo) 

After the biggest storm in nearly two years swept across southern Quebec, closing over 1200 schools and slowing travel, we are looking at an even stronger storm system from late Saturday into Monday morning.

Thursday's storm dumped 34cm at Trudeau Airport, bringing the monthly total to 54.8cm, already more than January, and above the long-term average for the entire month of February, 49cm. The storm also produced strong winds on the backside of the system late in the afternoon through midnight, with gusts up to 70 km/h. Those winds caused significant blowing snow, reducing visibility and drifting the 30 plus centimetres of snow across several roads. Highway 40 was closed at the Ontario border, as was Highway 13 in both directions Thursday evening after blowing snow made the airport tunnel dangerous. Conditions improved late in the evening. As much as 45cm fell north of Montreal at Saint-Sauveur, with 35cm falling in Ottawa.

Arctic high pressure will build into Montreal for Friday and early Saturday, with sunny skies, winds will remain brisk, with a high of -6C (21F). Friday night will be frigid and moonlit, with deep snow cover and ideal radiational cooling, the low dips close to -20C (-4F) for many locations. Saturday will feature increasing clouds ahead of our next storm.

Low pressure is forecast to develop over the Ohio Valley on Saturday and move very close to Montreal on Sunday. This storm is expected to deepen rapidly, becoming significantly stronger than Thursday's storm. Some models have the storm deepening to a sub 980mb low near Montreal. This will introduce another round of heavy snow on Sunday across southern Ontario and Quebec, along with strong winds and blowing snow. It is too early for specific amounts, but 30cm plus is not out of the question.

I will update this story frequently over the next 24-36 hours.

Plan on very difficult travel Sunday into the morning commute Monday morning. With the volume of snow already down on the city, Monday may prove difficult negotiating any street that does not have Thursday's storm cleared away yet.

Thursday, February 13, 2025

Schools closed as winter storm sweeps across the region

Another difficult commute in Montreal, but with much less traffic as all schools are closed. So far 13-15cm has fallen with another 10-15cm forecast Thursday. (Valley Weather Photo)

A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for Montreal and most of southern Quebec. 

Radar is showing at least a few more hours of steady precipitation to our southwest that will move through the Montreal region through midday.

Roads across the region are snow covered and slippery, with reduced visibility. All schools in the Montréal region, including those off-island, as well as CEGEPS and Universities, are closed today.

Widespread weather warnings remain in place across the region as a mix of heavy snow and sleet fall in the Montreal area. As of 7AM, 13cm of snow had fallen at Trudeau Airport, with another 15cm expected today. Lesser amounts have fallen here on Ile Perrot, as slightly milder air aloft has allowed for a mix of sleet at times. This will lessen the final accumulations. 

Winds have been gusting out of the northeast up to 50km/h. They will veer to the southwest and increase 50-80km/h late today as strengthening low pressure moves from near Toronto towards Montreal and then east into Maine. Finally winds will back to the northwest 40-60km/h tonight as colder air filters in.

High temperatures Thursday will be near the freezing point, with overnight lows dropping to -12C (10F). Friday will be the calm before the next storm, as an even stronger system moves in for the weekend. More on that later.

Wednesday, February 12, 2025

Two winter storms to deliver significant snow to Montreal

The long commute home westbound on Highway 40 in Sainte-Anne-de-Bellevue during last Thursday's snowstorm. Expect very difficult driving conditions on Thursday across the entire region, with heavy snow, blowing snow and even some freezing rain along and south of the St. Lawrence River. (Valley Weather Photo)

Winter Storm Warning in effect for southern Quebec and eastern Ontario. Winter weather advisory for adjacent upstate New York.

Expect very difficult travel conditions tonight and Thursday across the entire region, with low visibility in heavy snow and blowing snow.

Two winter storms are set to deliver significant precipitation to southern Quebec and eastern Ontario. The first storm arrives Wednesday evening, persisting into Thursday. There is still some uncertainty with the final snow totals, especially along and south of the St. Lawrence River, where warmer air arrives on Thursday. For now, snow is forecast to start late this evening and become heavy overnight. Accumulations of 15cm are expected in the Montreal area by the morning commute on Thursday. The snow will continue all day, mixing with freezing rain or sleet at times along the river and points south to the international border.

Total storm accumulations will be in the 20-35cm range from south to north across our region, including the Ottawa Valley, Laurentians and Quebec City. Less snow is forecast along the New York and Vermont border and across the Eastern Townships. 

Low pressure will move from the Ohio Valley down the St. Lawrence Valley and eastward into northern Maine on Friday. Temperatures will be cold on Wednesday, but rise through the night to high near 0C (32F) on Thursday in Montreal. Winds will become gusty up to 50km/h out of the northeast tonight and early Thursday, before backing to the northwest up to 60km/h Thursday afternoon. These winds will produce areas of blowing and drifting snow.

Skies clear out Friday before another strong winter storm takes aim at southern Quebec for late Saturday and Sunday. This storm will be colder for Montreal, with all snow expected at this time. More details to follow once we clear up our current storm.

Tuesday, February 11, 2025

Significant winter storm to impact Montreal

The message is clear from Transport Quebec, don't crowd the plow. There will be plenty of plowing and salting to be done over the next week as back-to-back storms will impact southern Quebec. A winter storm watch in now in effect for Montreal, with 20 to 35cm of snow possible from late Wednesday into Thursday. (Transport Québec)

Winter Storm watch in effect for Montreal, Southern Quebec and the Ottawa Valley.

The watch will likely be upgraded to a warning for several regions once a a more definitive storm track is determined.

A cold front will sweep across southern Quebec on Tuesday, accompanied by some gusty winds and perhaps a few snow squalls and flurries. The front will move south of the region, with Arctic high pressure building into Quebec for a few hours Wednesday.  Wednesday will start off cold, with lows down to -20C (-4F).

On Wednesday, clouds will thicken and lower as strengthening low pressure moves from Texas into the Ohio Valley and eventually down the St. Lawrence Valley. Snow will move into eastern Ontario on Wednesday afternoon,  and the Montreal region during the evening hours. The snow will become very heavy at times, especially during the Thursday morning commute in Montreal. Sleet or freezing rain may mix in south of the St. Lawrence River, but most of the precipitation will fall as snow. At this time, accumulations are expected in the 20-30cm range, with 40cm possible north of Montreal.

Expect very difficult driving conditions region wide on Thursday, if you can work from home. The snow will be accompanied by northeast winds of 20-40km/h creating areas of blowing snow. The high on Thursday will be -3C (27F) in Montreal.

Enjoy Friday as skies clear out and we have partly cloudy but cold wether. Another strong area of low pressure will take aim at our region over the weekend, with more snow forecast. More on that once we get this system out of the way.

Sunday, February 09, 2025

Stormy weather pattern expected to continue for Montreal through February

With some amount of snow falling in Montreal on 28 of 31 days in January, and 7 of 9 days so far in February, the region has experienced several challenging driving days. Add in gusty winds and areas of blowing snow, and the result has been long commute times, closed roads and several serious accidents. Sadly more snow is in the forecast. (Valley Weather)

A fast-moving winter storm delivered a swath of heavy snow Saturday afternoon and evening across southwestern Ontario into New York and New England, remaining just south of Montreal. Southern Quebec experienced a period of light snow, with just a couple of centimetres for most locations.

This continued the pattern of wintry weather that has resulted in nearly 20cm of snow since the start of the month in Montreal. We have had numerous difficult driving days in the region, with poor road conditions and several serious accidents. Highway 15 on the South Shore in Brossard and La Prairie was closed Friday due to blowing snow and poor visibility. On Thursday, at least three separate accidents involving more than 50 cars, closed sections of Highway 10 near Rougemont.

Unfortunately the snowy trend is expected to persist. As early a Sunday evening, a cold front will sweep southeast across the St. Lawrence Valley, accompanied by some heavier snow showers. Colder air arrives Monday as brief high pressure builds over the region. Highs will be near -8C with lows down to -10C.

The fair weather will be short-lived, with another front producing snow showers and potential squalls on Tuesday. Wednesday will be a calm day before our next potential significant storm arrives on Thursday. Low pressure is expected to lift northeast from Louisiana into upstate New York. The system is expected to pass close to Montreal, and depending on the final track, we could be looking at 15-20cm of snow during the day Thursday.

Another break in the weather is expected Friday into Saturday before yet another significant storm develops and moves along the New England coast. This could produce another major snowfall for the region.

Keep in mind that with most storm systems that impact the St. Lawrence Valley and Montreal, the final track determines all. A difference in as a little as 100 kilometres, such as with Saturday nights storm, can mean just a dusting versus a major snowstorm. The devil is in the details and we will need to wait until the event draws closer to determine a more precise track and final snow amounts for the city.

One thing seems certain, throughout the forecast period, we expect temperatures to remain below freezing, so any precipitation would most likely be in the form of snow or perhaps a mix along the US border.

Thursday, February 06, 2025

Two more winter storms on the horizon for Montreal

Monday's quick hitting storm dumped up to 10cm of snow on Montreal in just a few hours. The snow iced roads and lowered visibility significantly during the evening commute, making for a long drive home for many. Similar conditions can be expected Thursday, with a quick 5-10cm of snow forecast for Montreal. A winter weather travel advisory has been posted for the region. (Valley Weather Photo)

A winter weather travel advisory has been issued once again for a wide swath of southern Quebec and Ontario, as well as adjacent areas of New York and New England. If you have any travel plans over the next 12 to 18 hours, especially along the busy 401 corridor, you may want to postpone them.

A fast moving area of low pressure will skirt form the Midwest across the Great Lakes and north of Montreal on Thursday. After a frigid morning in Montreal, as cold as -20C (-4F), temperatures are on the rise as clouds quickly stream in from the southwest. Snow should start late morning and could become heavy at times, in a situation very similar to Monday's storm. Accumulations will generally be in the 5-10cm range, with a risk of freezing drizzle, especially along the St. Lawrence River.

Temperatures will warm to -2C (28F) today, dropping to -5C (23F) tonight and remaining there on Friday. The snow today will taper to flurries tonight as winds increase out of the southwest up to 50km/h. A strong cold front overnight will back winds to the northwest at 40-60km/h along with some snow squalls. Another 2-4cm of fresh snow is possible along with blowing snow. Conditions will slowly improve on Friday, but winds will remain gusty.

This same storm has been producing significant freezing rain across the plains states and into the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes. Freezing rain is snarling traffic across southwestern Ontario on Thursday morning. There has even been thunder and lightning with the precipitation.

Saturday will be fair and cold as high pressure briefly builds into the region. The fair weather will be short-lived, as clouds quickly stream northward ahead of another winter storm expected to move across New England on Sunday. Depending on the final track of this system, we may be looking at another significant snowfall. At this time, 5cm is expected but that may change if the storm tracks closer to our region. Stay tuned!

Sunday, February 02, 2025

Winter weather travel advisory in effect for Montreal

Shubenacadie Sam getting ready to deliver his forecast for six more weeks of winter weather, on this Groundhog Day 2025. (Nova Scotia Communications Photo)

A Winter Weather Travel Advisory is in effect for southern Quebec for 5 to 15cm of snow Monday afternoon and evening. Travel will be impacted as a result of snow covered roads and reduced visibility for the evening commute Monday across eastern Ontario, southern Quebec into northern New York. Dropping temperatures during the evening hours will likely result in very icy roads.

The various groundhogs were split in their forecast across Canada on Sunday, with Shubenacadie Sam in Nova Scotia, seeing his shadow and predicting 6 more weeks of winter. Meanwhile Wiarton Willie in Ontario did not see his shadow, predicting and early Spring. Here in Quebec, Fred la marmotte saw his shadow, sadly agreeing with Sam.

From what I am seeing this coming week and beyond in the weather models, I would lean towards Sam's prediction. We have a very active weather week ahead once again, with plenty of precipitation, as well as a roller coaster ride for temperatures.

After a frigid Sunday that featured morning lows as cold as -22C in Montreal, temperatures will moderate through the overnight hours and into Monday as a warm front lifts across the region. Highs on Monday will be very close to the freezing point, if not above for some locations. The front will produce some light snow Sunday night, with less than 5cm forecast. Late Monday our winter weather advisory goes into effect as a strong cold front brings moderate snow and gusty winds. Between 5 and 15cm is possible over southern Quebec into the early morning hours Tuesday.

At this time Tuesday and Wednesday look breezy and cold, but dry as arctic high pressure settles into Quebec. On Thursday, a stronger low pressure system will pass through the St. Lawrence Valley, with warming temperatures and mixed precipitation. Another 5 to 10cm of snow is possible. A stronger storm may take aim at the region next weekend, but there is still plenty of uncertainty with the forecast track. Stay tuned!

Either way, winter will persist for the foreseeable future across the Montreal region.