Winter weather travel advisory for the St. Lawrence Valley including Montreal.
Snowfall warning for the Ottawa Valley and the Laurentians
March is expected to roar in like a lion, with a period of heavy snow forecast for the region tonight and early Saturday. Accumulations of 10-20cm are possible. Travel will be difficult, with reduced visibility in falling and blowing snow. Gusty winds of 30-50km/h are forecast.
The weather certainly felt like spring for a few moments this week. Temperatures rose well-above freezing for the first time this month reaching 7C (45F) on Monday, along with some light rain. That was followed by 3 more days of above freezing temperatures, however winter has returned. We managed 6cm of wet snow on Thursday, bringing the monthly total to an incredible 102.6cm (40 inches). That amount is more than double the normal snowfall for February and represents nearly half of our average seasonal total.
THE NEXT STORM
A strong cold front has crossed the Montreal region early Friday morning, with our high of 1C (34F) reached around 3AM, temperatures have dropped rapidly since to the current reading of -10C (14F). Strong winds, up to 50km/h, are producing windchill values close to -20C. Winds will ease by midday, with temperatures settling in around -5C (23F) along with bright sunshine.
A strong Alberta Clipper low pressure will rapidly move southeast across the Great Lakes Friday, with clouds quickly filling back in this afternoon from west to east. The low will move very close to Montreal Saturday morning. Snow will spread east, arriving during the evening hours in Montreal, becoming heavy overnight. Storm accumulations of at least 10cm are forecast for Montreal, with 10 to 20cm possible north and west of the city. Those regions are under a snowfall warning. On Saturday, the high temperature will be reached early in the morning as a strong cold front associated with the storm arrives by midday. Temperatures will drop rapidly behind the front, along with increasing winds, the risk of snow squalls and blowing snow.
Skies will finally clear out late Saturday, allowing for a frigid night and cold Sunday. Lows will approach -20C (-4F) across southern Quebec by Sunday morning. The mercury will struggle to reach -12C (10F) on Sunday, along with bright, sunny skies.
The active weather pattern will continue next week, as another storm moves north from the Ohio Valley into the Ottawa Valley. This storm is expected to pass west of Montreal, allowing very warm air into the region. We are forecasting rain by Thursday. With area rivers frozen solid and tons of snow on the ground, the region will need to be closely monitored for the risk of flooding.