Wednesday, January 18, 2006

All School Busses Cancelled
Heavy Rain a threat now.....

The freezing rain overnight was enough to cancel all busses in our area this morning including Lanark, Leeds and Grenville, Stormont, Dundas and Glengarry and City of Ottawa. We received a good 5-10mm of ice that has coated everything outside. Roads are a mess with hard packed ice in the center lanes. In addition even though it is above freezing the rain that is falling on any untreated surface is still freezing on contact.

Our attention now shifts to the threat of minor flooding and then strong winds. A Wind Warning is in effect for the St. Lawrence Valley on both sides of the border in Ontario, Quebec and NY. Winds will gust form 50-90km/h beginning this afternoon. In addition Heavy Rain Warnings have been posted for Southern Quebec. From 30-50mm of rain is possible, enough to cause flooding where catch basins are blocked. Area rivers will have to be closely monitored. Roads are terrible this morning....slow down......

Tuesday, January 17, 2006

The Polar Roller Coaster continues
More Freezing Rain....

Not again, I hate these winters.......lets change this pattern please. The snow to rain to snow deal is on again in our region. It has been a month of ice and more ice. A Freezing Rain Warning has been posted again for Eastern Ontario including Leeds & Grenville Counties and metro Ottawa for tonight. Look for snow to begin in the area around sunset and change to freezing rain by midnight. It will be icy overnight and into tomorrow before the temperatures warm up at the surface or cool off aloft. This will taper any precipitation to showers or flurries. The other item of interest with this storm will be the strong winds. As the storm moves from the Midwest up across Lake Huron it will increase winds, first out of the east then the south and southwest. They may gust to warning criteria on Wednesday, that is up to 90km/h in upstate New York and into Ontario.

Saturday, January 14, 2006

Flash Freeze Expected

This is an ALERT to anyone living in eastern Ontario, Western Quebec, Northern New York and Vermont. The weather is about to change dramatically today. A strong Arctic boundary will pass through the region by noon-6pm today. Temperatures will fall from present values of 6 to10C down to below freezing rapidly. In addition strong winds will develop from the north at 60km/h and rain will change to snow. Computer models are having a tough time dealing with how much will fall. It looks like 5-20cm across the area. Amounts aside it will be nasty driving.

A Flash Freeze Warning is in effect for Eastern Ontario.
A Winter Strom Watch is in effect for Northern New York and Vermont.

Of Note: A Winter Strom Watch is also in effect for Southeast Saskatchewan. A developing Colorado Low is expected to bring Freezing Rain to the area tonight.

Friday, January 13, 2006


Severe Weather across Southeast US

Despite the calendar saying January, severe weather has broken out across the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to Georgia. At least two tornadoes and one fatality have been reported as of 2pm.
Much Colder this weekend

Highlights.....

~Very mild today Ontario and Quebec
~More rain in Vancouver with risk of mudslides
~Flooding rains across New England and eastern New York
~Much colder in Ontario and Quebec tomorrow
~Foggy on the Prairies this morning Assiniboia and Gravelbourg

The storm system that will be bringing us the rain tonight, in some cases as much as 25mm (1 inch), will pull off to our east Saturday. The big question by area forecast offices today is how quickly will the cold air wrap in behind the storm on Saturday. The Burlington office is calling for gusty north winds and 8-13cm of snow Saturday with temps plunging towards -10C. The Ottawa office is looking at the same for wind and temperature but only 2-4cm of snow.

In any event the rain of tonight will begin to freeze up by midday Saturday. That means roads will become very icy and with 60km/h winds and dropping temperatures in the Ottawa and St. Lawrence Valley, whatever snow falls will blow around. Travel will be poor from noon to midnight tomorrow.

Special Weather Statement NY/VT
Flood Watch NY/VT
No Warnings for Quebec/Ontario

Thursday, January 12, 2006

Storm likely this weekend....

Good morning everyone......Enjoying the mild weather in Ontario and Quebec I trust! It has been quite a spell. I want to go skating on The Rideau Canal in Ottawa, but it has only been open for a couple of days. The very mild weather will continue into Friday...However,.....Don't just like however's in weather!

Surface low pressure is expected to develop in the Midwest and along the US east coast early Friday. The result will be very mild air, plus 9 for Montreal and Ottawa early Friday along with rain developing into Friday night.

As the storm system along the coast becomes the primary low colder air on very strong north winds will be drawn into the St. Lawrence Valley and northern New England. The rain will change to snow early Saturday morning and continue all day. It is very early in the forecast period, but confidence is growing that we will see a storm. In any event it will be colder. Prepare yourself for winter weather this weekend.

Of Note...Vancouver is going for the rain record set in the 1950's. If it rains through this weekend, and it should, over 50mm expected today, then they will set a new record. So far 29 days straight and counting. They can have it! I will take the mix of seasons any day. Besides how can anyone live where there are no thunderstorms!!!!

Tuesday, January 10, 2006

Mild weather continues...
Quake rattles Seaway
Sorry for my absence at the start of this weather year. It has been a little busy and the normal January blues have settled in.

It has however been very mild. Temperatures across most of the country have been above normal. The cold air is trapped across the high Arctic. Two storms have fooled forecasters this past week. The first surprise was last Thursday. About 16cm of snow fell in Kemptville, we were only expecting a few cm with freezing rain afterwards. The second storm on Monday took a similar track with another 10-15cm of snow in the area. While Freezing rain Warnings were issued, it never materialized in our area.

The ValleyWeather picture above is the heavy accumulation of snow in Kemptville.

We are currently watching a storm developing in Arkansas that could give lots of problems to the Ottawa valley tomorrow. While mild air is expected to eventually stream into our area, the last two systems have shown us that this does not always go as planned.
At any rate freezing rain is expected to change to rain early Wednesday morning.

An Earth Quake rattled the St. Lawrence River Valley 61km southwest of Montreal. The quake registered 3.7 on the Richter Scale. No reports of any damage.

Below is a sun pillar last Friday, January 6 in North Grenville - ValleyWeather Pic

Wednesday, January 04, 2006

More ice for the valleys

It has been a rough start to 2006 for many across North America and indeed the world. My thoughts and prayers are with those in the West Virginia mine tragedy, the news is not good this morning, as well as those suffering in the California floods and the wildfires in the southern plains.

The weather has been equally bizarre with a very mild flow of Pacific air dominating the North America. This has allowed very warm tropical air to stream northward. Temperatures have been almost summerlike from Texas to Florida. In Ontario and Quebec we are just north of the really warm air. The unfortunate thing about that is it leaves our areas exposed to freezing rain and fog. This morning a Freezing Fog Advisory is in effect for the St. Lawrence Valley of NY/Ontario, and the Conn. Valley of Eastern Vermont.

A low pressure area developing in the Midwest will slide down the St. Lawrence Valley tonight leaving Montreal and Ottawa on its northern side. Snow and sleet will develop today and continue into Thursday. By the time it ends 10cm should fall. It won't be a big storm, but it will be messy. No warnings are out yet, but the system should be watched.

Thursday, December 29, 2005

The ice was about 1/4 inch thick in North Grenville today

Icy Rain over Ontario/Quebec

A fast moving area of low pressure skirted across Upstate New York today with up to 10mm of freezing rain in the area. Roads were slippery and some minor power outages were reported by Hydro One. The precip is just about over in Ontario with a few flurries or showers left over.

Travel till late Sunday looks great before another storm system moves in on Monday. Be safe and have a very Happy start to 2006!!!

Wednesday, December 28, 2005

Ice Storm Possible
Well it is back to work for many of us. Christmas was mild for most of the country. The storm that was expected in our area shifted a little east and dumped 30-70cm of snow from Quebec City into New Brunswick. In Montreal over 12 hours of freezing rain and wind knocked power out to 70,000 homes on the south shore. Roads were icy and travel uncomfortable, (best way to describe driving on ice).

The next storm is on our doorstep. Low pressure over Illinois will move south of the lower lakes tonight. It is looking like the St. Lawrence and Ottawa Valley's will have a prolonged period of Freezing Rain beginning tonight after 4pm. Expect 5-10mm or close to 1/2 inch of ice by noon tomorrow. Warnings are in place for both sides of the border (NY,Ont.) and in Montreal. That will be enough to make travel very poor and create some power outages as well. Stay tuned. If you have to travel tonight between Kingston, Montreal and Ottawa I would go early today or after noon tomorrow.

Friday, December 23, 2005

Christmas Weather Update....

While precipitation over the next few days will be light, it will be falling. With that in mind, travel with care and caution. The first shot of precipitation will be moving into our area this afternoon and tonight. While most areas are above freezing and will see a few centimetres of wet snow, some normally colder pockets, like Cornwall, Ontario, the upper Ottawa Valley or the Eastern Townships, Quebec & Northeast Kingdom of Vermont, may see spotty freezing rain. Tonight and Saturday more light snow with spotty freezing rain.

According to the National weather Service out of Burlington Vermont, the threat remains likely for a snowstorm Sunday night. It is becoming less likely for eastern Ontario. With the storm along the US coast, the western extent of the snow may only be as far west as the border communities with Quebec. Montreal will however receive the snow if the system develops. Travel with caution and listen to the updated forecast before you go.

To everyone, Family, Friends and Co-Workers who endure my constant chatter about the weather, Thank You a million times. I love the weather, but the real thrill is sharing it with you. Be safe...Slow down and enjoy the Holidays......Stephen

Thursday, December 22, 2005

Christmas Day Snowstorm.....
Ok don't panic yet, but here is the latest scoop on the Holiday weather. Today, Thursday, is a great travel day, just a little light snow but nothing major. Tomorrow, Friday will be sloppy with some snow and sleet, but with the expected high of 0C to -2C, I think we will be fine in Ontario and Quebec.

The challenge comes later in the forecast period, late Sunday into Monday. Low pressure is forecast to develop along the east coast and move towards Cape Cod, The moisture on the back side of the system will approach Montreal late Sunday. I think it will have trouble moving into eastern Ontario. At any rate, a significant snow may fall into Boxing Day for southwest Quebec, Eastern Ontario, New York State and Vermont.. At this point here is the travel outlook....

Thursday...GOOD
Friday... SLOPPY but SAFE with Caution
Saturday....GOOD best day.
Sunday...GOOD early moving to POOR or worse late.....

I will update this early tomorrow morning.

Be safe and MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!!

Tuesday, December 20, 2005

Christmas Update.................
An arctic front slid south across the area today with snow north and south of Kemptville. The Kemptville bubble held tight deflecting the snow around us...go figure. The forecast for the weekend has modified a little. Friday looks to be cloudy with flurries and mild. Saturday into Christmas Day could be interesting with a low developing along the Eastern Coast of the US. It is early, and computer models are having trouble with the exact track. If this worries you, and you are travleling for the holidays, leave Friday night or early Saturday. Stay Tuned...............

Monday, December 19, 2005

Just some of the 41cm of snow clogging Montreal roads this weekend.
ValleyWeather Photo

First look at Christmas.....
Travel in the east could be a little slippery come the Christmas weekend, but no major delays at this time are expected. It will be mild, but some of the precipitation could be in the form of freezing rain. Any precipitation at this point looks to be light. Lots can change but right now Friday looks to be about 0C to plus 2C through most of Eastern Ontario and west Quebec, with flurries or showers. Same for Saturday and Christmas Day. Stay tuned.......

Friday, December 16, 2005

Clearing Leeds/Grenville Roads early this morning (VWXPhoto)

Record Snowstorm for Montreal
Over 41cm of snow fell today in Montreal bringing transportation to a standstill. Big ugly accidents occurred everywhere, there were too many to mention. Airport closed for hours, all schools closed. It was a record storm for December 16 and very close to the benchmark superstorm of March 4, 1971. According to my parents the March 71 storm was the storm that sparked my interest in weather. I sat in our windowsill on Lasalle Blvd and watched the snow pile up all day. The difference in 71 was the storm was accompanied by 100km/h winds.

It will take millions of dollars and 5 days to clear the storm from area roads. Today from 6am-NOON visibility in Montreal was less than 1km.

In North Grenville between 20-25cm fell in the county. Busses were cancelled, hundreds of accidents along the 401 & 416. More squalls are moving off Lake Ontario tonight so a few more centimetres are possible.

SnowStorm Totals:
Ontario:
OTTAWA 22 CM
GATINEAU 23 CM
PETAWAWA 8 CM
CORNWALL 23 CM PLUS 7 CM OF ICE
KEPTVILLE 20CM PLUS 3 HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN


Quebec:
CAMPBELL'S BAY... 15-20 CM
MANIWAKI.... 20 CM
MONT-LAURIER... 15 CM
MORIN HEIGHTS... 30 CM AT 09:00 AM
MIRABEL... 43 CM
ST-LIN-LAURENTIANS... 41 CM
RAWDON... 30 CM
L'ASSOMPTION... 18 CM
DORVAL... 41 CM
ST-HUBERT... 35-40 CM
ORMSTOWN... ABOUT 15 CM WITH 5-10MM OF ICE

Update.....
Very heavy snow continues in the St. Lawrence Valley. Montreal has had 19cm so far, (15cm in the last two hours!) Ottawa 10cm. Travel is poor, if you can wait a few more hours before heading out.
Busses Cancelled in area
Heavy Snow moves into Kemptville
Radar shows at 6am, Heavy Snow is now falling over the Ottawa and Seaway Valley from Trenton east to Montreal and north to Ottawa. The heaviest snow will fall until at least noon with total storm accumulations reaching 25cm. Overnight for at leat 3 hours freezing rain and sleet fell in Kmeptville & Ottawa. As a result expect to have to scrape your car for some time this morning. The threat of ice has passed it will be mainly a snow event for the balance of the storm. It should be over in Ontario by mid afternoon and tonight in Montreal.

Heavy Snow Warnings remain in effect for areas from Trenton to Ottawa and east to Quebec City. South of the border Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for New York and northern Vermont.

Of Note: All school busses are cancelled for the City of Ottawa, Stormont, Dundas & Glengarry, Prescott and Russell and Lanark, Leeds and Grenville. Some schools are closed as well.....

Thursday, December 15, 2005

Winter Storm Warnings
extended to Montreal/Ottawa

Winter Storm Warnings are now in effect for all areas of Eastern Ontario, Western Quebec and Northern New England. The forecast is very simple...SNOW. Heavy snow will develop tonight and continue into Friday. Travel will become increasingly difficult in heavy snow and some blowing snow. Radar is showing the snow as far north and east as Toronto with the heaviest precipitation still south of the border. Heavy snow 15-30cm will fall across New York and Quebec / Ontario corridor along the 401 and up the Ottawa Valley.

Wednesday, December 14, 2005

Above: ValleyWeather Photo of Ice Fog and Black Ice in the
Seaway Valley this morning. Temps were as cold as -24C

Warnings Issued
The much anticipated winter storm is upon us. Heavy Snow Warnings have been posted for the entire southwest portion of Ontario from Windsor to the Quebec border including Leeds/Grenville and Stormont, Dundas and Glengarry Counties.

There is also a Winter Storm Watch posted for New York and Northern Vermont. The snow will spread northeast over the day on Thursday and persist into Friday. Snow will accumulate from 10-15cm in Toronto and Southwest Ontario and 15-25cm in Ottawa and Montreal. I expect more warnings will be issued. Winds will be on the increase out of the east causing blowing snow in the St. Lawrence Valley.

Travel will become difficult by Friday morning. Plan accordingly.... this could be the worst stom in the last couple of years.
Winter Storm Update
A complex long weather event is shaping up for Ontario and southern Quebec over the next 48-72 hours. I don't have to tell you but "Baby Its Cold Out There!" Both my digital thermometers have frozen up this morning, lithium batteries or not......They stopped at -24C (-11F) for our US weatherverts. So needless to say the cold air is in place. It will remain in place as dual low pressure areas begin to converge on our area.

The first is a potent little clipper from western Canada that will slide across the lakes and produce 5-15cm of snow beginning mid day Thursday near the GTA and moving east towards the Quebec border by evening.

The second more significant storm will race up the east coast to be near Boston by late Friday. It will produce a swath of heavy snow and ice from just inland along the eastern seaboard from North Carolina north to New England, New York, Montreal and the Ottawa area. Too early to talk about amount but the 25cm amount is being tossed around by some weather folk. Stay tuned for any watches or warnings. So far only a Special Weather Statement is out.