As Canadians we talk about the weather relentlessly, I just talk about it a little more! I hope to provide useful information to my family, friends and all those who simply enjoy talking about the weather. My primary region of concern is the St. Lawrence Valley of Quebec, Ontario, and New York, as well as our neighbouring regions. This Blog is dedicated to my late father for inspiring my interest in weather, and to my "all weather" pup Bella.
Monday, September 18, 2017
The best weather of the year for Montreal
Hurricane Jose
The Atlantic hurricane season continues to be extremely active. As mentioned, hurricane Jose is still meandering around the Atlantic, and is located this morning 270 miles (440km) east southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Jose has 85mph winds, and is moving north at 9mph (15km/h). Jose is already producing elevated surf from southern New England to the Outer Banks. A tropical storm watch is now in effect for coastal regions from Delaware north to Massachusetts. Winds up to 45mph (70km/h) along with up to 4 inches (100mm) of rain are possible for coastal locations Tuesday.
Hurricane Maria
Over the weekend, hurricane Maria developed and is presently located 85 miles (135km) east of Martinique in the Leeward Islands. Sadly, Maria is forecast to become a major hurricane and trek across some of the same regions impacted by Irma two weeks ago. The northern Leeward islands will be impacted as early as Tuesday, with Puerto Rico expected to take a direct hit on Wednesday. All interests in the Bahamas and eastern US will need to monitor Maria carefully over the next week to 10 days.
Wednesday, September 13, 2017
Summer 2017 in Montreal - saving the best for last
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| Haze and smoke made for a spectacular sunset in Montreal on Monday, September 11. Warm and dry weather is forecast to end summer 2017. (Valley Weather Photo) |
This spell of perfect weather is coming during the last full week of summer 2017, a season that has for the most part, not been so good. Precipitation was above normal, with temperatures below, not an ideal combination for a city that loves summer. If you like the heat, it was absent most of the season. Montreal officially recorded only one day where the temperatures was 30C (86F) or above. Normally we have at least 9 such days.
Our current stretch of dry, warm weather started last Sunday and is expected to persist right through the upcoming weekend. As the high pressure slides east off the coast, warmer southerly winds will pick up this weekend, with a slight rise in humidity levels as well. Temperatures will be well above normal, averaging 27C (81F) for a daytime high and 13C (55F) for the overnight low. Normally we should be at 20C (68F) and 9C (48F) respectively. The only exception to the sunshine may be a few high thin clouds Thursday, as what is left of hurricane Irma slides across southern New England late tomorrow and Friday. Any showers will remain across southern New York and Vermont. Enjoy the fine forecast, fall officially arrives next Friday, September 22 at 4:02PM.
Monday, September 11, 2017
From south to north - widespread damage in Florida
| Widespread damage along the overseas Highway 1 in Marathon Key, Florida. (Photo via Twitter @JustonStrmRider) |
The storm has left a widespread trail of damage and destruction in its wake, from the Keys to Miami and north to Jacksonville as well as Georgia and South Carolina. Power is out to nearly 6 million residents from Florida to the Carolina's. Sixty five percent of the Florida power grid is down.
Landfall occurred on Sunday morning near Cudjoe Key, with 130mph winds. A peak gust to 141mph was reported at Naples, Florida. On Monday, the storm crept northward across the peninsula while slowly weakening. Even in a weakened state, Irma's broad circulation produced a tremendous storm surge along the east coast of Florida, Georgia and South Carolina. Record flooding is occurring in Jacksonville, along with winds in excess of 75mph. Homes have been damaged and in many cases destroyed. Crews are slowly moving southward across the Florida Keys, inspecting infrastructure and doing a door to door search for victims. To date, 4 fatalities have been blamed on Irma in Florida, 10 in Cuba and 20 across the rest of the Caribbean. Hundreds of thousands of Florida residents remain in shelters today, unable to return home due to damaged, blocked or flooded roads. Relief is pouring into the region, and FEMA is on the ground. Included in the relief effort, will be 175 utility employees from Ontario's Hydro 1.
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| A record storm surge flooded parts of Florida's east coast, including Miami-Dade, Jacksonville and Ponte Vedra Beach shown above. (The Weather Channel/AP) |
Sunday, September 10, 2017
Hurricane Irma making landfall in south Florida
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| The storm surge splashes over the famous Key West buoy, as Irma nears the tiny chain of Florida islands. |
Irma will remain a very dangerous storm as the system sweeps from south to north across the Florida peninsula today. Fort Myers, Naples, and Tampa are in the cross hairs for direct impacts form the strongest winds. Already major flooding is occurring, even on the east coast of Florida. Storm surges of 10 to 15 feet are forecast on the west coast, with 6 to 8 feet from the upper keys into Miami-Dade. Power is out to an estimated half million customers already in south Florida. Irma is forecast to move into Georgia on Monday.
I have not forgotten about hurricane Jose. Indications are that this storm may also impact the US. I will deal with that once Irma is out of the way. More updates will follow later today on both systems.
Friday, September 08, 2017
Irma forces mass evacuations along the Florida coast
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| A sign of the times as millions of Florida residents are fleeing inland in advance of Hurricane Irma. (USA Today Photo) |
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| Congestion on US 1 in the Florida Keys ahead of Irma. (Miami Herald Photo) |
Wednesday, September 06, 2017
Historic hurricane Irma pounds the Leeward Islands
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| A spectacular infrared satellite image of the eye of Irma passing directly over Barbuda on Wednesday morning. (NOAA) |
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| According to the Prime Minister of Barbuda, 90 percent of the island was damaged by Irma. (Mirror) |
Tuesday, September 05, 2017
Powerful hurricane Irma heads for Caribbean islands
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| A visible satellite image of powerful, category 5, hurricane Irma, early Tuesday, September 5. (NOAA) |
Beyond the Caribbean, forecasters are looking at several guidance models that are leaning towards a Florida landfall of some sort by this coming weekend. Florida Sate Governor, Rick Scott, issued a state of emergency, effective on Monday. I imagine that within the next 24 to 36 hours, if Irma remains on her current path, that evacuations will be needed for at least the Florida Keys. It is early to speculate, but indications are Irma may impact not only Florida, but many sections of the southeast and eastern Seaboard.
Friday, September 01, 2017
Patchy frost tonight - rain from Harvey Sunday
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| The remains of tropical storm Harvey will interact with a frontal system, producing rain over southern Quebec Sunday. Meanwhile hurricane Irma has developed in the eastern Atlantic. (NOAA) |
September has started on a rather cool note, with cold high pressure over Ontario producing unseasonably chilly temperatures, along with gusty northwest winds. Montreal was 8C (48F) Friday morning, recovering only to 16C (61F) in the afternoon. Locations northwest of the city were even colder Friday. Ottawa established a record low for September 1st at 4.7C (40F), the previous was 6.1C (43F) set in 1967. The forecast low tonight is 3C (37F) in Ottawa, with scattered frost. A frost advisory is in effect tonight for portions of northern and central Ontario, the Ottawa Valley, West Quebec as well at Mont Tremblant, Sainte-Agathe and the Saquenay, Lac St Jean region. Frost advisories are also in effect for the Adirondacks of New York and northeast Vermont. Scattered frost is likely just before sunrise Saturday.
Saturday will be milder, with abundant sunshine and a high temperature near 21C (70F). The nice weather however will be short-lived. The remains of tropical storm Harvey, currently over Kentucky, will be moving north into the Ohio Valley. The system has weakened significantly since producing catastrophic flooding in Texas and Louisiana. Harvey still managed to drop 100 to 200mm of rain in the Mississippi Valley as well as Tennessee. Isolated tornadoes have been reported as well. Harvey will interact with a frontal boundary sliding across the Great Lakes, producing rain across southern Quebec on Sunday. I originally thought the rain would remain to our south, but the front will act like a straw, drawing deep tropical moisture into the St. Lawrence Valley. We can expect 15-25mm (1 inch) of rain Sunday, along with gusty winds and cool temperatures. Conditions should improve slightly for Labour Day Monday, with partly cloudy skies and slightly warmer temperatures.
Hurricane Irma
Of note, a new hurricane has developed in the open waters of the Atlantic about 1600 miles (2500km) east of the Leeward Islands. Irma is a major hurricane with 110mph (175km/h) winds, moving west northwest at 13 mph (20km/h). The storm is forecast to strengthen. It is very early in the life cycle of this system, but forecasters are watching it carefully to see what the impact may be to the Caribbean and possibly North America by late next week.
Wednesday, August 30, 2017
Goodbye summer 2017
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| Summer is disappearing quickly, with the first hint of colour appearing in the trees on L'Ile Perrot this week. (Valley Weather Photo) |
Time to take a brief look back at what seemed like a very short summer. Montreal came off a cloudy, cool and wet spring, and that trend seemed to last well into July. As far as heat goes, there was none, only one lonely day above 30C, June 18 at 32.1C (90F). This would be the warmest day of meteorological summer. Montreal usually averages 8 or 9 days above 30C. Overall temperatures averaged close to normal for the three months, 18.7C in June, 20.8C in July, and 20.3C in August. Nothing spectacular, just normal, the cooler days being offset by warmer nights. Our average daytime high for summer 2017 (June through August), was 24.7C (76F). The normal long-term average is 25.1C (77F).
Rainfall was a little different, somewhat exceptional at times, especially for the first half of the summer, when it seemed to rain every second day. June measured 135.2 mm of rain, well above the normal of 87mm. July was wet as well, with 125.4mm, the normal is 89.3mm. The atmosphere dried out a touch in August, with 76mm, the normal is 94.1mm. The dry August has been helped along by the first stretch of dry weather this summer, no rain from the 23rd to the 29th. As far as thunderstorm activity goes, they were few and far between, but when they did occur, they were big. Most notable was the storm on July 31st in St Laurent, that caused flooding and power outages and of course the powerful microburst in NDG on August 22nd. Damage from that storm was significant.
Fall Outlook
At this time, the fall looks warmer and dryer than normal. We are not expecting extremely hot weather, but rather temperatures a degree or two above the long-term average. Rainfall is expected to be near normal, however there is always the risk of a wayward tropical system brushing our region with heavy rain. This historically happens more often than you think. As we enter September, the loss of additional daylight will start the process of the trees changing colour and eventually dropping their leaves. This process will be accelerated by any sub-freezing nights we have. Keep in mind, the average first frost for metro Montreal is October 12, earlier in the outlying suburbs.
Tuesday, August 29, 2017
Historic flooding swamps southeast Texas
| My brother-in-law has family in Houston and sent me this photo of major flooding in the northwest suburbs. (Photo Steve Bussiere) |
This event has entered a territory never seen in modern times in North America. The result of the rain has been catastrophic flooding across southeast Texas. Thousands of water rescues have taken place, and the effort is ongoing. First responders are being joined by 12,000 Texas National Guard troops, as well as numerous Federal assets. Sadly the death toll has reached 7, and is expected to climb. Tens of thousands remain trapped in their homes. Houston is the fourth largest metropolitan area in the US, home to over 4 million residents.
This morning, tropical storm Harvey is located 145 miles south southwest of Port Arthur, Texas, drifting east at 3 mph. The system continues to pump copious amounts of tropical moisture inland over southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas. Forecasters expect another 1 to 2 feet of rain over the region before Harvey finally moves off towards the northeast on Thursday.
As of Tuesday morning, numerous rivers, lakes and reservoirs are rapidly exceeding record flood stage levels with the flood emergency worsening by the hour.
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| Major flooding is occurring across southeast Texas from tropical storm Harvey. (KHOU) |
Sunday, August 27, 2017
Catastrophic flooding across southeast Texas from Harvey
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| Severe flooding is occurring in Houston, where over 20 inches of rain has fallen from hurricane Harvey. (KHOU) |
Harvey, located 25 miles northwest of Victoria, Texas, is expected to drift into the northern Gulf of Mexico this week, before moving slowly back into east Texas. Heavy rain, perhaps another 20 inches is expected before the storm leaves the area by next Thursday. Catastrophic flooding is forecast to continue, with most rivers and bayous exceeding record flood stage. The record for the most rainfall in Texas is 48 inches (1219 mm) at Medina in August 1978. This record may be challenged with Harvey, with heavy rain forecast through the upcoming week.
Further down the coast, the clean-up is underway in Rockport and Port Aransas, where widespread severe damage occurred on Friday, August 24. Numerous buildings were completely destroyed by Harvey's 130 mph winds and 12 foot storm surge. So far two fatalities and approximately 100 injuries have been reported.
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| Severe damage occurred in Rockport, Texas, when Harvey made landfall Friday, August 25. (TWC) |
Saturday, August 26, 2017
Powerful hurricane Harvey slams Texas coast
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| A spectacular satellite image showing the eye of hurricane Harvey just prior to landfall Friday night, on San Jose Island, Texas. (NOAA) |
| Wind damage in Matagorda County, Texas on Friday afternoon. |
The forecast track for Harvey over the next few days has the storm weakening slowly over land, while moving into east Texas and southwest Louisiana. In addition to the flooding, scattered tornadoes continue to affect east Texas. The tornado risk will persist throughout Saturday.
Friday, August 25, 2017
Extremely dangerous hurricane Harvey set to inundate Texas
| The eye of Harvey has become visible Friday morning, as the dangerous storm spins just 80 miles off the coast of Texas. Corpus Chrisite appears to the point of landfall at this time. (NOAA) |
Historical Rainfall Forecast
Wind is only one component of this dangerous storm, water will be the big story. Harvey is forecast to meander around southern and eastern Texas for the next 3 to 4 days, with torrential rainfall. Unbelievable rain estimates of 15 to 25 inches (300 to 600mm) are being forecast with up to 35 inches locally. This amount of rainfall will certainly lead to catastrophic inland and fresh water flooding. Emergency officials are preparing for widespread flash flooding across all of Texas and into Arkansas and Louisiana. Water temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico are in the upper 80s, with plenty of moisture and energy available to fuel this storm.
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| Midday Friday radar from Corpus Christie, Texas, shows the eye of Hurricane Harvey less than 80 miles from the Texas Gulf Coast. |
Thursday, August 24, 2017
What caused all the damage in N.D.G.?
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| Power poles were snapped in half in the Montreal borough of N.D.G. after severe thunderstorms on Tuesday, August 22. (Hydro Quebec Photo) |
The strong thunderstorm that rolled across the island of Montreal late in the afternoon of Tuesday, August 22nd, downed hundreds of trees and snapped hydro poles in half like toothpicks. Most of the damage was centered around the Montreal borough of N.D.G. Thousands were left without power, with widespread damage to cars and buildings. As mentioned on this blog early Tuesday morning, all the ingredients were coming together for a particularly potent afternoon of thunderstorms activity. Mother Nature did not disappoint.
MICROBURST
So what caused all the damage? According to Environment Canada, it was a microburst generated by a severe thunderstorm cell as it swept east-northeast across the city. Thunderstorms by nature are extremely complex entities, with rising and sinking air, as well as tremendous temperature variations from the upper atmosphere to ground level. The National Weather Service definition of a microburst is that cold air from within the storm descends from the middle and upper levels of the atmosphere, often from several thousand feet high. As the cold air reaches the surface of the earth, it rolls out rapidly, usually in the same direction the storm is moving. As the air rolls out, it is rapidly compressed causing the wind speed to increase dramatically. The wind can be enhanced by local geography, topography and buildings. Microbursts are small scale weather phenomena, typically affecting an area only a few square kilometres in direct proximity to the parent storm. This was quite evident in N.D.G., with most of the major damage confined to a small area.
Winds within a microburst can often reach 100km/h or more and in extreme cases, as high as 240km/h. Microbursts are much more common than tornadoes, and responsible for most of the damage generated by thunderstorms here in Canada. In the case of the N.D.G storm, winds were estimated of at least 100mk/h. When examining the damage from N.D.G., it becomes immediately apparent this was caused by a microburst and not a tornado. In a microburst, all wind flows out, with debris lying in straight lines parallel to the outward winds. In a tornado, the wind flows inward, with debris lying helter skelter at all angles.
EF-1 Tornado
In addition to the storms in the Montreal region, Environment Canada has confirmed that an EF-1 tornado, with winds up to 175km/h, touched down in Lachute at 6:10pm Tuesday, August 22. The tornado tore up trees and damaged over 350 homes. Some of the structures had their roofs torn off resulting in 40 people being evacuated.
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
Thousands without power after strong thunderstorms sweep Montreal
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| Sherbrooke Street West in N.D.G after strong afternoon thunderstorms. (Photo via Twitter @EffieInMtl) |
As of 5:15PM, nearly 100,000 Quebec homes were in the dark, including 58,000 in Montreal. The N.D.G. neighborhood of Montreal was impacted with strong straight line winds that tore down hundreds of trees, some onto homes and cars. Damage is widespread. Crews are on the scene starting what will likely be a lengthy clean-up. A peak wind gust of 81km/h was recorded at Trudeau Airport. Looking at the damage in N.D.G., the wind appeared to be much stronger there. Heavy rain also accompanied the fast moving storms.
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| More tree damage in N.D.G. (Photo via Twitter @DJVminD) |
Elevated risk of severe thunderstorms today
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| A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect for southern Quebec today. |
Any storms that do develop, will have the potential to produce very strong winds, torrential rain, hail and even isolated tornadoes. Warnings will be issued when storms are threatening an exact location. The watch is just a general indicator of the risk for any one region. If outdoors today, seek shelter immediately when threatening weather and especially lightning approach. Listen for warnings, which may be issued at anytime today. High temperatures will be near 30C (86F) today, cooling off after the frontal passage.
Monday, August 21, 2017
Eclipse Day weather for Montreal
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| Monday, August 21, 2017, Eclipse Day in North America. |
Here in Montreal, we can expect close to 60 percent of the sun to be shadowed by the passing moon. The eclipse will begin at 1:21 PM, reaching peak at 2:38 PM and ending at 3:20 PM. The forecast for today is perfect. Sunrise was at 6:02 this morning, with some high cirrus clouds present. The sky should be mostly clear today, perhaps a few wispy clouds, it will be warm and humid, with high temperatures close to 30C (86F).
Remember, damage to your eyes can occur in seconds, avoid looking directly into the sun without proper eclipse eye wear. Standard sun glasses will not protect your eyes from damage. For a safe alternative, the event will be streamed online by various news outlets as well as NASA. I plan on paying close attention to the weather during the eclipse for any notable changes, as well as the surrounding landscape. Enjoy and be safe!
Friday, August 18, 2017
Clear skies forecast for partial eclipse in Montreal
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| Nearly 60 percent of the surface of the sun over Montreal will be covered by the moon on Monday, August 21 at 2:38pm. (Photo: timeanddate.com) |
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| Partial eclipse of the sun; if skies remain clear on Monday, Montreal will be in for a rare celestial treat. |
Wednesday, August 16, 2017
The tropics are heating up
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| Hurricane Gert is located in the open waters of the Atlantic, while three other areas of disturbed weather are being closely monitored for development. (Weather Nation) |
As we head into the thick of the Atlantic hurricane season, the tropics are heating up. No less than three areas of disturbed weather in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean have the potential to become tropical systems. A tropical storm is named when winds reach 39mph. The storm is officially a hurricane at 74mph. Forecasters at the National Hurricane Centre in Miami will be closely monitoring the systems for potential development and to evaluate the risk to the Caribbean and eastern seaboard.
Eclipse Weather
Monday, August 21st will be an historic day, as a full solar eclipse takes place across portions of the United States. Here in Montreal, 60 to 70 percent of the sun will be blocked by the passage of the moon, reaching a peak at 2:38pm. At this time, the weather looks perfect for viewing in Montreal and southern Quebec. High pressure will be in control, with sunshine and warm temperatures in the upper 20s.
Monday, August 14, 2017
Partial eclipse to darken the skies over Montreal
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| The partial solar eclipse on Monday, August 21st, will darken 60 percent of the sun over Montreal. |
On Monday, August 21, 2017, a narrow swath
of North America, from southern Oregon to the Carolinas, will be treated to a
very rare celestial phenomenon: A total
eclipse of the sun will occur on this date, starting on the Pacific Coast at
9:06AM PDT and exiting the Atlantic Seaboard at 4:06PM EDT. The eclipse will
produce total darkness for a period of one to three minutes along a 70 mile
(113km) wide path stretching diagonally across the US from Oregon to South
Carolina. The percentage of sun covered by the moon will decrease rapidly as
you move away from the main path. Here in Montreal, our partial eclipse of the
sun will start at 1:21PM, reaching close to 60 percent coverage by 2:38PM and
ending by 3:12PM. Across southern Canada, the amount of sun covered will vary
from 90 percent in Vancouver, to 70 percent in Toronto and less than 50 percent
across Atlantic Canada.
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| A narrow path of total darkness will sweep across the US from coast to coast during the solar eclipse. |
Residents in cities along the path of
totality are preparing for a massive influx of people coming to view the rare
event. Gridlock is expected on the more than 20 interstates that crisscross the
path. Over 200 million residents live within a day’s drive of the path of
totality. Hotels along the path have been booked for well over a year for this
date.
If crowds aren’t your thing, you can watch the event live on your computer or mobile device, streamed by NASA at www.nasa.gov/eclipselive NASA also has an entire website devoted to the eclipse, eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov
If crowds aren’t your thing, you can watch the event live on your computer or mobile device, streamed by NASA at www.nasa.gov/eclipselive NASA also has an entire website devoted to the eclipse, eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov
The Royal Astronomical Society of Canada has a list of viewing events planned from coast to coast. The list can be accessed on their website, www.rasc.ca/solar-eclipse-2017
A reminder to those who plan on watching the eclipse live and in person, make certain you use protective eyewear. Staring directly into the sun does damage to your retinas and can result in permanent vision loss. More information on eyewear can be found here www.eclipseglasses.com
With darkness lasting for up to three minutes at each location along the path of totality, the sudden loss of daylight can drop temperatures by as much as 10 degrees. It can also play havoc with wildlife, creating confusion, albeit for a short period of time. According to NASA, eclipses occur due to the special coincidence of the moon and the sun being the same angular size. The sun is 400 times wider than the moon, but it is also 400 times farther away, so both coincidentally appear to be the same size in our sky. A total solar eclipse occurs when the moon crosses the path between the sun and the earth. This happens, on average, once every 18 months, with locations varying around the world. The last total eclipse visible in Montreal was on February 26, 1979. I was in 7th grade at the time in Verdun and very excited, to say the least. The school chose to keep students indoors, however, and the day was cloudy, limiting the effects in Montreal. The next total eclipse visible in the US and Canada will not occur until April 8, 2024, traveling from Texas northeast to New England. It will pass right over Montreal. Let’s hope for a sunny day!
Tuesday, August 08, 2017
Montreal's summer weather in one word, unsettled
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| Damage in Saint-Joseph-de-Beauce from a confirmed EF-1 tornado on Saturday, August 5. (Radio Canada Photo) |
This past weekend was just terrible, more clouds than sun, breezy, cold and at times wet. This followed a very stormy Friday, that had rounds of strong thunderstorms impacting southern Quebec. The wind gusted close to 80km/h at Trudeau Airport along with heavy rain. There were numerous reports in the city of downed trees. Some locations such a Napierville and St Constant reported major flooding as more than 100mm (4 inches) of rain fell on Friday alone. A sate of emergency was declared in Napierville. Thousands were also left without power. On Saturday, more strong storms occurred in Quebec, this time east of Montreal. Environment Canada confirmed the provinces fifth tornado of the season, and EF-1, capable of winds up to 170km/h. The storm struck Saint-Joseph-de-Beauce, south of Quebec City. Widespread damage was reported to trees and homes, along with power outages.
The forecast for the balance of the week into the upcoming weekend does not look great. Following the trend well established this summer, expect unsettled weather at best. Tuesday and Wednesday will be the best days of the week, with more sunshine than clouds and mild highs near 27C (81F). The rest of the week into the weekend will be partly cloudy and humid, with numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms. The best chance for rain will be in the afternoon each day. This trend will last well into next week, with temperatures close to normal. The normal high is 26C (79F) and low 15C (59F).
Solar Eclipse
Expect a rare celestial treat for North Americans on Monday, August 21. A solar eclipse will be visible across a large portion of Canada and the US. I will post details on the timing of the partial eclipse here in Montreal, later this week.
Wednesday, August 02, 2017
More strong thunderstorms possible through Friday
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| Flooding after Monday's severe thunderstorm under Cote-de-Liesse at Hickmore. Firefighters opened the manhole cover to release the flood waters. (CTV News) |
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| Flood waters gather in the parking lot along the Trans Canada Highway at Cote-Vertu on Monday, July 31. (Valley Weather) |
Severe Thunderstorm Produces Flooding
On Monday afternoon, a strong isolated thunderstorm cell moved from Laval across north central Montreal towards Trudeau Airport between 4 and 5pm. The storm brought torrential rain, with between 33mm and 37mm falling in less than one hour in Saint Laurent and Dorval. The result was flooding of several basements and highways. Our parking garage and ramp here at The Suburban flooded rapidly from the torrential rain. Strong wind gusts in excess of 85km/h brought down several trees. Lightning and wind knocked out power to over 17,000 Hydro Quebec customers in metro Montreal. The thunderstorm also produced pea size hail. The storm rapidly dissipated as it swept southeast across the Island of Montreal. The isolated nature of this particular storm produced the heavy rain and flooding in a narrow swath through the city. I measured no rain at all on L'Ile Perrot, just 20 kilomteres to the southwest of Trudeau Airport.
Monday, July 31, 2017
Humidity and thunderstorms forecast to return to Montreal
The high temperature today, and through the entire week, will be in the 27C to 30C range (80 to 85F). As the month draws to a close, Montreal has yet to record a 30C high temperature. Normally we have 5 such days, with July 2016 featuring 6 days above 30C. Overnight lows this week will be on the mild side, around 19C (66F), In addition to the warm temperatures, humidity levels will be on the rise, reaching oppressive levels by Thursday. The risk for showers and thunderstorms will exist each day this week, peaking late Friday with the arrival of a cold front. At this time, next weekend looks decent, with clearing skies, cooler temperatures and low humidity.
The weather has been very active across North America over the past week. Heavy rain and thunderstorms occurred across a portion of the middle Atlantic states, with numerous reports of flash flooding. Meanwhile, the weather remains hot and dry across western Canada, with strong thunderstorms occurring along the periphery of the heatwave in Saskatchewan and Manitoba. Temperatures soared into the upper 30s on Sunday, with Assiniboia, Saskatchewan, a little Prairie town I am very familiar with, reaching 37.7C or 99.8F. Mankota, Saskatchewan, near the Montana border, was the warmest placer in Canada on Sunday, reaching 38.2C (101F).
Tuesday, July 25, 2017
More rain, more flooding - our summer of discontent
| A quick thinking employee from Bed Bath and Beyond, checks on a stranded motorist in Kingston, Ontario on Monday. (Photo via Twitter @YGKtraffic) |
Widespread flooding was observed, with several road closures across eastern Ontario. Numerous accidents were reported along area highways, including Autoroute 20, west of Montreal near Coteau du Lac. Highway 2 was closed near Johnstown, Ontario due to several metres of water covering the roadway near the rail bridge. Isolated power outages also occurred, with as many as 8000 Hydro Quebec customers without power Monday afternoon. That number is down to 1000 as of Tuesday morning.
Flood warnings and watches have been posted for several watersheds in Ontario as a result of rapid runoff. Water levels on the Kemptville Creek and Rideau River basin will be running well above normal for the next few days. All this water will be rushing down the St. Lawrence River towards Montreal over the next week. All waterways across southern Quebec and eastern Ontario remain dangerous for any activities, and vigilance is strongly encouraged.
Thursday, July 20, 2017
The ring of fire dominating the weather in Montreal
The continent appears to be split into two distinct weather patterns this summer: extremely wet or dangerously dry. We all know how wet a year it has been here in southern Quebec, across eastern Ontario and into northern New England. At the same time, they are desperately hoping for rain in fire-ravaged B.C. The culprit this July is a rather large area of high pressure anchored over the central US. Under that dome, temperatures have soared into the upper 30s, with very little rainfall. The influence of this high pressure occasionally nudges into western Canada, keeping that region hot and dry as well. Around the ring of high pressure is a region of instability, with frequent showers and thunderstorms. In many cases, the storms have been severe, with flash flooding. Flooding has affected portions of Arizona, the Great Lakes, New England and southern Quebec, south along the Atlantic Seaboard into the US southeast.
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| Smoke from the British Columbia wildfires has now spread as far east as Manitoba (dark grey). There is a chance we may even see some in Ontario and Quebec before the end of July. (Environment Canada) |
| Fire damage from Loon Lake, BC. (CBC) |
In western Canada, more hot and dry weather is forecast in Alberta and Saskatchewan to end July. In B.C., temperatures will trend a little cooler, but unfortunately no appreciable rain is in the forecast. The state of emergency, in effect since the start of the month, has been extended for another two weeks. Over 140 fires are burning across the province, having already consumed over 3200 square kilometres. Of those fires, 27 are considered major, with 15 threatening communities. BC resources are being augmented, with an additional 100 firefighters expected to arrive this week from Ontario. They will join 830 already on the ground from across Canada, including 45 from Quebec and 54 from Australia. To date, 41 homes and three dozen trailers have been lost to the fires. The cost to battle the wildfires has now exceeded $100 million, with over 40,000 residents evacuated. Outdoor fire bans remain in effect for the foreseeable future. Smoke from the fires has drifted as far east as Manitoba, and into the central portions of the US. Air quality advisories have been in effect on almost a daily basis across southern BC and Alberta.
Friday, July 14, 2017
The 30th Anniversary of the Decarie Expressway flood
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| Firefighters rescue trapped motorists from the Decarie Expressway after thunderstorms generated historic flash flooding on July 14, 1987. (Radio Canada) |
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| Widespread flooding trapped hundred of motorists in Montreal on July 14, 1987. (Radio Canada) |
Officially, 102.2mm (4.02") fell at the McGill Observatory on McTavish, 86mm (3.38") of that fell in less than one hour. At Parc Lafontaine, 103mm (4.05") was recorded, with unofficial reports of as much as 180mm (7.1"). The deluge would overwhelm the sewer system, designed for no more than 36mm (1.41") per hour. Water would pour into highway underpasses, basements, businesses and of course the Decarie Expressway. Over 300 motorists became trapped in their vehicles on the Decarie alone, requiring rescue from the Montreal Fire Department. Nearly 400 cars would be abandoned. Traffic was gridlock across the city as major routes such as Highway 20 at 1st Avenue in Lachine and the St Remi Tunnel became flooded as well. The Metro was forced to close as a result of flooding on several lines. The evening commute would last into the wee hours of July 15th.
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| Flash flooding on Atwater Street in downtown Montreal, July 14, 1987. (The Montreal Gazette) |
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| Water pours down Mount Royal Avenue during flash flooding on July 14, 1987. (The Montreal Gazette) |
Monday, July 10, 2017
Thousands forced to flee British Columbia wildfires
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| Highway 97 near Ashcroft, B.C. remains closed as a fire burns out of control near the community, 90km west of Kamloops. (BC Transportation via Twitter) |
Stormy in Eastern Canada
It was a much different story here in Montreal, and across a large portion of eastern Canada. Our wet and frequently cool summer continues, with little relief in sight. Early Saturday morning, a strong thunderstorm with wild lightning and up to 25mm of rain in less than 30 minutes, moved from L'Ile Perrot towards the downtown core of the city. The storm produced some minor flooding, especially off island to the west. The entire weekend was unsettled, with below normal temperatures and frequent clouds, showers and thunderstorms. The weather this week will follow a similar one to that of the entire summer to date. More showers and thunderstorms are possible each day through the weekend. Temperatures will struggle to reach the normal high of 26C (79F) each day. Sadly this trend is expected through the end of July. Montreal has had measurable precipitation, on 6 of the 10 days this month, with 37.8mm of rain so far. In Ottawa 98.4mm of rain had fallen through Sunday. The July average for the entire month is 91.9mm.
Friday, July 07, 2017
Don't like the weather - just wait a few minutes
Scattered thunderstorms are possible in Montreal and across southern Quebec today, as a warm and humid air mass is in place. Some of the storms may produce heavy rain and gusty winds. Temperatures will be near 27C (81F), along with elevated humidity levels. Temperatures will be slightly cooler tonight and into the weekend, with lows down to 16C (61F), and highs both Saturday and Sunday near 24C (76F). Unfortunately the weekend will display the same weather we have become accustom do for the last few months. I hate to reuse the same word over and over again, but unsettled comes to mind. The atmosphere will be busy, changing frequently and quickly, with fair skies in the morning, building instability, and showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. This type of weather will prevail into early next week.
Where is all the hot air?
If you want heat, go western North America. However, the sunny, hot weather comes at a price. Wildfires are running rampant from California to Montana and in especially hard-hit Colorado. Heat emergencies have been declared in many communities. The hot air has arrived in Canada, from southern interior B.C., eastward into Alberta and Saskatchewan. Temperatures this week have been in low to middle 30's, and may approach 40C along the Montana border by next week. Heat warnings have been issued by Environment Canada for several locations in Alberta and southwest Saskatchewan.
As we head into summer vacation time in Quebec and Ontario, please be extra careful around any body of water. Levels on the Great Lakes, Ottawa and St Lawrence Rivers continue to run very high. When you add any wind to the mix, the water can easily overwhelm a boat, or make swimming dangerous. Minor shoreline flooding also continues in several communities.
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