Friday, August 03, 2018

Record hot July in Montreal - more of the same for August

A message many can relate to in parts of eastern Canada, is displayed on a business in French River, Ontario. The community, 500km west of Ottawa, is being threatened by the 27,000 hectare Parry Sound fire. Dense smoke has settled over many parts of northeast Ontario and western Quebec. (CBC)
The month of July is in the record books, and it was the hottest to date at Trudeau Airport. The average temperature at the airport in suburban Dorval was 24.2C, with data back to 1941. The only warmer month on record for the region was in 1921, downtown an McGill University, with an average of 24.7C. The long-term 30 year average for July is 21.2C. The city recorded at least 11 days above 30C, with many regions in southern Quebec reporting more. The hottest day here on LÌle Perrot, was a scorching 36.3C on July 2nd. Rainfall was highly variable across Ontario and Quebec, with the bulk of the precipitation falling in the final week of July. For example, Trudeau Airport measured 97.6mm for the month, but most of that fell over a 48 hour period on the 25th and 26th. By contrast, here on L'Ile Perrot, I only recorded 46.2mm. I am confident with that number, as most of the thunderstorm activity went north of my location. The overnight period provided very little relief in the city, with 13 low temperatures remaining above 20C at the airport. It was even warmer in the concrete jungle downtown. Combined with the heat, was days of oppressive humidity values, some of the highest numbers and longest duration ever recorded in Montreal.

The dry weather has continued the elevated threat of brush and forest fires across parts of the province. Currently, there are 19 fires burning in Quebec. At times on Thursday, the smokey air from the Ontario fires, was drifting across eastern Ontario and into southern Quebec. West winds transported the smoke into the region. In Ontario, over 47 fires are burning in the northeast portion of that province alone. The largest in the 11,000 plus hectare Parry Sound fire. Clouds and an increase in humidity helped firefighters on Thursday, but it continues to burn out of control. Heavy rain over the last two weeks has been confined to the area around Ottawa, and not further west and north where it is desperately needed.

Hot start to August
A warm and humid southerly flow of air continues to dominate the weather in southern Quebec. A strong Bermuda high is relentlessly pumping the heat and humidity northward into eastern Canada. These conditions are forecast to persist through the upcoming weekend. Expect daytime highs near 30C and overnight lows in the low 20s. The muggy weather will prevail most of next week as well. Only a few scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected in our region through the weekend, with the bulk of the activity remaining well south of Montreal, over New England and the middle-Atlantic.

No comments: