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| Lac St Louis's thin ice along the Pointe Claire shoreline Monday morning. First Responders across southern Ontario and Quebec are asking everyone to remain off the ice at this time. Our warm winter has resulted in very thin, unstable and unpredictable ice conditions. Several ice/water rescues have already been carried out including that of a 65 year old male on Ile Perrot on February 12. The quick work of the NDIP/Pincourt Fire Department likely saved the mans life. |
This has to be one of the warmest winters of my life, certainly with the least amount of snow. Whatever snow is left across southern Quebec will melt quickly this week, as temperatures are forecast to soar into the double digits. The all-time record high for February in Montreal is 15C (59F), set on February 22, 1981. That record will likely be challenged on Wednesday, certainly the daily record of 8.3C (47F) set in 1954 will fall. The forecast highs this week, through Wednesday are very warm, 6C (43F) Monday, 10C (50F) Tuesday, and 15C (59F) Wednesday.
As far as practical weather is concerned, a weak front early Monday morning will produce some light snow and rain before skies clear partially by noon. A potent cold front and low pressure system developing across the central portion of the US will move northeast into the Great Lakes by Wednesday.
Gusty southwest winds will develop, with very mild and moist air moving into Ontario and Quebec late Tuesday and Wednesday. Rain will develop on Wednesday, possibly heavy at times, with even the risk of isolated thunderstorm. Once the arctic front clears our region, temperatures will fall rapidly Wednesday night, with leftover rain changing to snow, along with gusty northwest winds up to 50km/h. Temperatures will fall to -15C (5F) by Thursday morning. The high on Thursday will be 20 to 25 degrees colder than Wednesday, at -8C (18F). The sharp cold snap will be short-lived, with temperatures rebounding to back above freezing by Friday. Warm weather is expected to start March.
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