Monday, December 31, 2007
Snow and more snow! It is no surprise that the month of December will end with a flurry, pardon the term; of snow. The month has seen record snowfall totals for many cities in the east including Ottawa and Montreal - records that were established during the fierce winters of the early 1970's. Ottawa has recorded over 110cm of snow with another 18 hours or so to go.
On that note, Winter Storm Watches and Special Weather Statements have been posted for the region. This mornings snow will taper off shortly after depositing around 5-8cm on the area. A more potent storm is expected to cross the lower lakes tonight and redevelop along the New England Coast Tuesday. Snow at times heavy will develop across all regions tonight and end late Tuesday. A good 10-15cm is forecast with a possibility of more south of the area into New York. Windy weather will cause blowing snow and usher in frigid temperatures by Wednesday morning. The watches may be upgraded to warnings so check the links at the left often today and listen to local radio or TV if you are planning to travel tonight or Tuesday.
Sunday, December 30, 2007
Friday, December 28, 2007
Another round of steady wet snow and rain is on tap for Friday night across Ontario and into western Quebec. The snow should begin in eastern Ontario late today and dump between 5-15cm. The heavier amounts will occur across higher elevations and towards the Ottawa Valley. Low pressure is expected to slide from the lower Mississippi Valley into the Great Lakes and eventually Quebec by noon Saturday. Last nights storm put down between 5-10cm of snow on the region.
The precipitation will be followed by a mild Saturday and Sunday before more snow moves in for Monday and New Years Day. Some rain may mix with tonight's snow along the 401 corridor. This will lower snow totals greatly.
Thursday, December 27, 2007
Sunday, December 23, 2007
After a very mild day across Ontario and Quebec a powerful cold front is crossing the area. Temperatures are plummeting and are expected to fall to -4C by morning from highs of plus 5 to 7C. Roadways across southern Ontario are freezing up. Accompanying the drop is strong winds from the SW at 50-80km/h. A gust to 90km/h was recorded at Port Colborne in the last hour. Kemptville is plus 5 while Kingston is -2 and snowing at 9pm.
High Wind Warnings are posted for the entire region with Flash Freeze Warnings for Ontario. Travel with great care tonight or delay till tomorrow.
Friday, December 21, 2007
While I believe our white Christmas is not in jeopardy plenty of rain and warmth is on the way for this weekend. A warm front will lift north of the area on Saturday setting the stage for strong southerly winds and some showers. Temperatures are expected to soar to the plus 5 to 9C range across the area by mid-morning Sunday. After that a strong cold front will push through the area late Sunday with a rapid temperature drop and heavy rain along the front. Any leftover precipitation will change to snow Sunday night and then taper to flurries. Icing of roads is possible Sunday night. Winds along and ahead of the front Sunday will be very strong out of the southwest up to 70km/h possible.
We can expect between 15-30mm of rain across our area with the potential for rapid snowmelt. I like to call it the Hair Dryer effect when strong south winds are blowing ahead of a cold front. Needless to say it is important that you clear rain gutters and sewers and perhaps take any snow SAFELY off your roof.
Beyond that Christmas looks seasonable with flurries, highs will be around -3 or -5C. Around the Great Lakes, on both sides of the border, there is the chance of lake effect snow Sunday night and Monday. Keep this in mind in your travels.
Thank you so much for reading this Blog all year long. I have had over 300 hits in the last week alone and it means so much to me. Be safe and have a Merry Christmas. And please be good to each other and slow down!
Wednesday, December 19, 2007
We are about to see some major changes in the weather pattern across eastern North America. It will become milder into the start of the New Year. First however we are in store for more snow. A clipper system moving from the central Great Lakes will bring 5-10cm of snow to most of the region with closer to 12cm east of Cornwall. Snow Advisories are in place for northern Vermont and NY. On the weekend another storm system will approach the lakes again and this time move west of our area. This will place our region in the warm sector eventually. Any snow or freezing rain will begin late Saturday and change to rain into Sunday.
It will be very mild from 4-6C on the weekend. It will cool again for Christmas with some flurries. I will post updates as the forecast becomes more clear.
Monday, December 17, 2007
The massive winter storm that moved through Ontario yesterday is well east of our area this morning. It dumped an incredible 24 hour snowfall on the area including 50cm at Cornwall, 40cm at Kemptville and 37cm at Ottawa. Montreal had 30cm but it is still snowing and Toronto 18-25cm. Numerous flights are cancelled at Ottawa Airport still and school buses in the city are cancelled as well. There is no place to park downtown so leave your car at home if you can. Be safe on narrow streets as well.
One final note on the storm, it was well forecasted from start to end. That being said we may have another one planned for next weekend, but dig yourself out of this one first.
Once again praise to the crews that are working 24/7 to ensure our safety. In a month that has recorded almost 100cm of snow or more in some cases, that has been no easy task.
Sunday, December 16, 2007
20cm and counting
Very heavy snow is falling in Kemptville at the moment with visibility less than 1km. Winds are gusting to 30km/h causing blowing and drifting snow. Plowing operations are underway but with the heavy snow it may be difficult to keep up with the storm.
A few indicators are suggesting a little less in the final snowfall totals. This is typical with major storms where "dry slots" can work into the center of the system and lower totals. I still feel our area will have the heaviest accumulations in the 30-50cm range but surrounding areas may be lower. We will have to let the storm play itself out today. Needless to say it is a nasty to impossible travel day in the area.
The snow has started across all regions this morning with the heaviest snow just working its way into Kemptville. The snow will become very heavy with bursts of between 2-5cm per hour expected. Thunder has been reported in southwestern Ontario and Michigan so it is not out of the question. Several centimetres has already fallen here and winds are gusting to 30km/h blowing it around and making the -15C seem much colder. Visibilities are down already to 2km at Montreal, 1km at Ottawa and 0.8km at Toronto. Travel is not advised today by the OPP. There is a statement from Environment Canada at this link, that says it all
The snow should remain quite intense through mid afternoon with visibilities often down to less than 1km in heavy snow and blowing snow. Winds will increase to 40-60km/h and gust to 80km/h along the St Lawrence River. Total snow amounts by the end of the storm I believe will be between 30-50cm.
Saturday, December 15, 2007
OPP advise not to travel 401 as 60cm possible
A massive winter storm is on our doorstep at this hour. The snow will begin in Kemptville and eastern Ontario close to daybreak Sunday and spread north and east. It will rapidly become heavy and a record breaking snowfall is forecast. Environment Canada and the National Weather Service forecasters are calling for 40-60cm of snow in our area. It will fall fast and be blown around by very strong winds up to 80km/h. ALL travel should be avoided tomorrow.
It is possible that thunder will accompany the heavy bursts of snow at times. The entire area on both sides of the border is under a Winter Storm Warning. There are no easy places to travel tomorrow and I expect air travel will be greatly affected in most eastern cities from Chicago to New York to Montreal, Ottawa and Toronto. If this storm occurs as forecast it will be the most snow I have seen since the Blizzard of 1971 in Montreal that dropped 47cm in 24 hours. Stay tuned as this historic weather event continues to unfold. The links on the left are active and contain up to the minute conditions, warnings and radar.
Remember do not travel Sunday.
Winter Storm Warnings Posted...
Catchy title, it should be. Numerous indicators are suggesting one of the biggest storms in recent years. Computer models are showing between 30-50cm of snow for eastern Ontario and Western Quebec. Winds will be a factor as well gusting between 40-70km/h and even as high as 80km/h along the north shore of Lake Ontario. The snow will nudge into Eastern Ontario overnight tonight and last till late Sunday. It will be a very dry snow and easily blown around. There are even some suggestions that a lightning strike or rumble of thunder is not out of the question in the heaviest snow bands.
It is essential that you cancel travel plans tomorrow across Ontario, Quebec and New York/New England on Sunday. The most recent forecast path has the storm moving across southern New England, and introducing a little warm air in places along the St. Lawrence River with some sleet mixing in. Sleet could lower the snow totals.
I will post the next update close to 5pm and again around 11pm tonight
Friday, December 14, 2007
Winter Storm Watches and Warnings are flying across the entire region tonight as a potent storm takes place over Texas. The storm is expected to move towards Lake Ontario and spawn a second low pressure area along the Atlantic coast. With all the parameters in place including a powerful jet stream, it appears we are in for a doozie of a storm. Snow totals are forecast to be in the 25-50cm range across the entire area with 25 plus cm in Kemptville. In addition to the snow, winds are expected to gust between 40-70km/h on Sunday night. Temperatures will be very cold during the event and the snow will be dry and easily blown around.
Numerous agencies on both sides of the border are not recommending any travel Sunday and Sunday night. The snow is expected to begin in the pre-dawn hours Sunday.
Tonight gusty northwest winds have iced up roads, caused blowing snow and dropped the temperature in Kemptville from plus 1C at 2pm to -11C at 7pm.
Wednesday, December 12, 2007
Tuesday, December 11, 2007
The snow has started over eastern Ontario at 2pm and should continue until about midnight. We can expect between 10-15cm of snow in Kemptville. While Environment Canada has not issued any warnings, the driving should still be nasty. Roads are already snow covered and slippery. To the southwest over Lake Ontario, some rain and freezing rain is mixing in as well. Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for upstate New York and a Special Weather Statement has been issued for our region.
Monday, December 10, 2007
Thursday, December 06, 2007
Wednesday, December 05, 2007
Monday, December 03, 2007
ALL Buses cancelled for Lanark, Leeds & Grenville
The snow and sleet started in Kemptville around 10pm last night. As I expected the heavy compacting sleet kept snow totals down, but we have an impressive 10cm on the ground. It would be more in the 15cm range had the sleet not occurred. Most weather offices on both sides of the border are scaling back on the forecast snow amounts as the main low begins to transition its energy to a developing storm on the east coast. A good bet is 15-25cm by the end of the day for all areas.
Blah bah blah what this all means is that the heaviest snow for Kemptville is past for the moment. It will remain quite heavy in Ottawa and Montreal for several hours still. Another swath of snow will accompany the back side of the storm as it moves through later today. The winds will also become a factor increasing from the northwest and gusting to 50km/h.
In addition snow squalls will develop around the lakes and some of these could affect eastern Ontario with brief bursts of heavy snow. To summarize it is not the end of the world, but it will be a nasty day on the roads, with gusty winds, varying degrees of snow falling from Kemptville in all directions and snow covered roads.
ALL school buses have been cancelled for Lanark, Leeds & Grenville, Ottawa and SD&G.
Sunday, December 02, 2007
Winter Storm Warnings remain posted for Eastern Ontario, including Lanark, Leeds & Grenville, the Ottawa Capital District and Stormont Dundas & Glengarry counties. Warnings are also in effect for southern Quebec. Heavy snow and blowing snow is on our doorstep as the bulk of the low pressure area begins to slide east across upstate NY. Areas along the north shore of Lake Ontario and Erie will expect freezing rain and rain tonight before changing back to flurries Monday.
In Kemptville today we have had only flurries north of the warm front extending from the main storm center. Snowfall amounts by the end of the storm will be close to 35cm in Montreal and Ottawa with less - around 20cm in Kemptville and along the Seaway due to mixing of freezing rain. In all areas winds will be 30-50km/h out of the east tonight and then back around to the northwest 30-60km/h on Monday.
Travel will be very poor Monday so allow extra time in all our forecast regions OR delay your plans to Tuesday when conditions should improve greatly.
The next update will be later this evening followed by a complete update by 6am Monday morning...
Saturday, December 01, 2007
A major winter storm is on tap for our area on Sunday and Monday. A strong low pressure area will move from Kansas towards the Great Lakes tonight and east across New York State on Sunday. This system will result in heavy snow overspreading the area Sunday from west to east. Some mixing of sleet or freezing rain may occur late Sunday. By the time precipitation ends on Monday close to 30cm of snow and sleet is expected in Montreal, Ottawa and close to 25cm in Kemptville.
Winter Storm Watches have been posted for Kemptville, with a Heavy Snow Warning for Montreal. All areas of New York and Vermont are under warnings as is southern and western Ontario. Travel is not recommended tomorrow afternoon and night along the 401 and 416 corridors as well as southwest Quebec highways.
Next update by 8am Sunday....
The much talked about winter storm is on our radar this Saturday morning. Today is a great day to get everything done you need to do. Tomorrow will be a very different story across Ontario and New York and into Quebec by Monday. A Colorado low is developing and is expected to move towards Toronto by late Sunday. Very cold air is in place across Eastern Ontario and Quebec this morning. This cold air will not be displaced easily. It appears that precipitation from the storm will begin overrunning the area after lunch on Sunday. The snow will become heavy and last into Monday. While 10cm is the official forecast, 25cm or 10 inches is not out of the question for Kemptville and Montreal.
Winter Storm Update
Issued 8AM Saturday December 1
Winter Storm Watches are in effect for southern Ontario and all of New York and Vermont. They will be extended later today into eastern Ontario as the track of the storm becomes more defined.
The next update will be around 4pm today....The links at the left are always active. If the link is red or "severe" a warning is in place, click on the link to read the warning.
Friday, November 30, 2007
Thursday, November 29, 2007
I was hoping the weekend forecast would be a simple one. It looked like the storm that was poised to sweep the area was going to be a cold weather event with snow and nothing else. As more computer models are run, warm air is being introduced to the storm. This always complicates the forecast by developing a snow/rain line usually very close to Kemptville and the Seaway.
So...here goes. First today. Windy, in a word. A cold front is moving through the area with gusty winds from 50-70km/h and some snow today. I don't expect more than a cm or 2 at best. Another front will sweep the area late Friday with more flurries and gusty winds. Saturday is fair, the ideal go out and shop day. Sunday will see snow developing and mixing with freezing rain. That is far as I will go today. More updates soon. Plan on poor weather Sunday.
Be kind to each other today!
Wednesday, November 28, 2007
Expect many changes over the next few days in Kemptville and the Ontario/Quebec region. A series of fast moving storms and fronts will provide a range of precipitation from snow to rain and everything in between. Most of today will be dry. Snow will begin late tonight and mix with rain by morning. A few centimetres is expected. Tomorrow we can expect the showers to turn back to flurries late in the day as a cold front moves through the area again. Keep in mind regardless of the precipitation type, roads will be slick. The ground is now in the process of freezing and ices up quickly.
Beyond that a major storm may affect us late in the weekend, Sunday into Monday. I will post updates on this as we move closer to the event.
Yesterday's front dropped about 3cm on Kemptville. Southwest of us in the Toronto area and north along the 400, squalls created white out conditions resulting in two fatal accidents. Winds gusted from 70-100km/h along the front in that area. Remember that at this time of year and indeed all winter, the weather changes quickly around the lakes. Be ready for these rapid changes in road conditions.
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
Special weather statement issued for: City of Regina - Fort Qu'Appelle - Indian Head - Lumsden - Pilot Butte - Moosomin - Grenfell - Kipling - Wawota - Carlyle - Oxbow - Carnduff - Bienfait - Stoughton - Estevan - Weyburn - Radville - Milestone - Outlook - Watrous - Hanley - Imperial - Dinsmore - Moose Jaw - Pense - Central Butte - Craik - Assiniboia - Gravelbourg - Coronach - Swift Current - Herbert - Cabri - Kyle - Lucky Lake - Leader - Gull Lake - Shaunavon - Maple Creek - Val Marie - Cypress Hills.
An intense low pressure system will move across southern Saskatchewan today bringing 5 to 10 cm of snow with it. Gusty southeast winds ahead of this system will produce extensive blowing snow causing poor visibilities in open areas. Winds will become strong northwesterly over southwestern portions of the province later this afternoon producing more extensive blowing snow and reduced visibilities.The combination of cold temperatures and brisk winds will produce wind chills near minus 30. Conditions are expected to improve this evening.
Monday, November 26, 2007
More snow tonight
More winter weather is on our doorstep courtesy of a storm system over the Ohio Valley. Steady rain will change to wet snow after midnight tonight and accumulate 5-10cm across eastern Ontario and Upstate NY. The highest amounts will be over higher terrain. Roads will be icy late tonight. Temperatures will cool on gusty winds tomorrow dropping below freezing with more snow expected.
On the Prairies an arctic outbreak is underway with temperatures in the -20's across Saskatchewan and Alberta with flurries and blowing snow. Travel is poor along the Trans Canada Highway through both provinces.
Friday, November 23, 2007
Here is list of the storm totals from yesterday's first snow. All in all it was a respectable storm for the first of the season. About 1 inch of precipitation fell in varying forms from heavy rain along the Great Lakes to heavy snow in the Ottawa valley and everything else in between. Winds were gusty in the afternoon and it turned much colder. This weekend will warm up with flurries, before more interesting weather in the middle part of next week. Stay tuned!
Franktown, ON 25cm
Lachute, QC 20cm
Kemptville 15cm (two day total close to 25cm)
Thursday, November 22, 2007
Snow and ice pellets continue across eastern Ontario, west Quebec and upstate New York this morning. About 10cm has fallen in Kemptville with at least another 10cm today. Radar this morning backs this up with more bands of precipitation to our south and west moving into our area. Winds will not be a big factor in Kemptville, but will be along the 401 and in Montreal where they will gust to 50km/h.
The plows have been rolling all night in Kemptville, but roads remain slippery due to the falling precipitation. It will be cold today with temperatures staying below freezing. Care is advised on the roads.
Storm totals will be in the 15-25cm range when all is said and done. All in all an impressive storm for the first one of the season. I will post photos later this morning.
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
Kemptville and Eastern Ontario
The bulk of the precipitation will begin this evening and become heavy overnight into Thursday morning in our area and spread east into Quebec. Snow and gusty winds causing blowing snow are expected along with dropping temperatures.
Tuesday, November 20, 2007
The first widespread snow event of the season is expected over eastern Ontario and western Quebec Wednesday night into Thursday. Indications now are that rain and freezing rain during the afternoon late tomorrow night will change over to snow into Thursday morning on gusty northwest winds. Temperatures will fall Thursday and it will be windy with snow. It looks like 5-15cm (2-6 inches) can be expected throughout our area. This forecast will need tweaking as the rain snow line will be very close to the 401 corridor. Travel will be difficult late Wednesday through Friday morning. I will update this blog early tomorrow morning with any watches or warnings for the region. Keep in mind it is Thanksgiving in the US and a very busy travel time.
A special weather statement has been issued at: http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/warnings/SWS_bulletins_e.html?prov=on
Storm on tap for Ontario
It looks like the first major snow event of the season is upon us. It is a difficult forecast with indications of a snow rain mix to start. The first storm will move through the area tomorrow with light rain. It will be chilly with highs no more than 4 or 5C. A cold front will sweep through the area late Wednesday with a second storm forming along that front. As the second batch of precipitation moves into the area on Thursday, it should be cold enough to support snow. The amounts are tricky to determine and will depend on the exact time of the changeover. Count on several centimetres of wet snow Thursday in the St. Lawrence and Ottawa Valleys. Travel will be poor. The wind will be very gusty as well.
I will post another update between 5-6pm tonight.
Thursday, November 15, 2007
Adirondacks and Green Mountains
Prepare for Winter driving....
A fast moving low pressure area and cold front are bringing rain to Eastern Ontario this morning. As the storm reaches the east coast it will intensify tonight. Cold air wrapping around the back edge of the Storm will change rain to snow in all areas tonight. While only flurries are expected in our area, heavy wet snow is expected across higher elevations of New York and Quebec. Up to 30cm of snow may fall by Friday night. In Ontario Lake Effect Snow will occur off Lake Huron and Georgian Bay with over 15cm expected there. If you are travelling in both provinces or New England/New York today expect wet, breezy and changeable weather with dropping temperatures in all area.
Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for the northern Green Mountains and Adirondacks with Snow Advisories across Northern New York. Heavy Snow Warnings are in effect for the Beauce and Townships regions of southern Quebec.
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
Low pressure moving across central Saskatchewan has produced an impressive windstorm in the Prairies. The wind in Swift Current, SK has been blowing between 60-100km/h since mid day yesterday and continues! A peak gust of 104km/h was recorded in the last hour there. 100km/h winds were also reported at Moose Jaw and Lucky Lake. Winds will continue to howl from Alberta to Manitoba tonight as the storm slides east. Wind Warnings have been posted. They should diminish from west to east tomorrow.
Monday, November 12, 2007
I missed the forecast for our area...oops!
I must admit I am often surprised by how accurate I can be at times. It is actually scary. But boy did I miss the forecast for this past weekend and this week. I was expecting cool, breezy and even snowy weather in Ontario and Quebec. The coastal storm that struck the Maritimes and Gaspe just missed us. It meant sunny and very pleasant weather for Montreal and Ottawa. The snow, over 20cm in places, fell well east of our area. It included 21cm at Metro Halifax Airport. There were winds of 75-100km/h for the second weekend in a row. Power outages and dangerous roads were the rule. It looks like this weeks cold and white weather for Ontario will be delayed. But make no mistake it is on the way. I think next week we will see some action. Stay tuned.....
On the west coast, BC is being hammered today by a fierce storm with heavy rain on the coast, snow in the interior and 70-100km/h winds. Power is out to thousands of homes at this hour.
Tuesday, November 06, 2007
Bands of Lake Effect snow with thunder and lightning are affecting Georgian Bay, and southern Ontario along with Western New York south of Buffalo. Lake Effect Snow Warnings have been issued for the counties of NY with a Special Weather Statement for Ontario. This afternoon winds are gusting to 80km/h along the north shores of Lake Erie and Ontario at Port Colborne and Point Pelee. Warnings are in effect for those areas.
A cold rain with mixed wet snow and gusty winds will develop tonight along Lake Ontario and in the St. Lawrence Valley and may work its way into North Grenville. It is the time of year that if it is wet treat it like ice...be safe.
Monday, November 05, 2007
Noel worst Storm this season!
In an ironic twist in what was supposed to be a terrible hurricane season along the east coast, Hurricane Noel, possibly the last of 2007 - became the worst. What makes it ironic was that the storm was seemingly a weak and disorganized system from its onset. And yet the storm managed to kill 168 across the Caribbean, more than his predecessors and then blossom into a powerful extratropical storm that hammered the eastern seaboard from Florida to Newfoundland. Over the weekend the storm sent high seas and 100mph winds along the New England and Maritime coasts. At the height of the storm over 250,000 people were without power in those areas. The coasts were hit hard by storm surge flooding and damage was evident up and down the Nova Scotia coast. In addition to the wind, over 100mm of rain fell in areas and even snow fell on the western flank of the system, as much as 20cm in Northern Maine and western New Brunswick.
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
It looks like Halloween is going to be dry and mild in our area. We are forecasting temperatures around 10C with any wet weather holding off till well after midnight. Be safe and have fun!!!!
Tropical storm Noel is a 40mph storm over northern Cuba today. It is forecast to go through the Bahamas and approach the southeast coast of Florida briefly with heavy rain and seas before racing off to the northeast. Indications are that Nova Scotia and Newfoundland could be affected by a very strong Extratropical storm by the weekend.
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
Smoke from the fires can be seen below drifting off the California coast
Friday, October 19, 2007
Record Highs in Ontario
The mercury has soared to 24C in Kemptville at 11AM this morning and we may approach 27C before the thunderstorms move in. Already storms are developing along the 401 corridor and they will move into our area. The potent low pressure area has a history of severe weather with over 100 tornadoes in the US in the last 48 hours and numerous reports of wind damage.
Watch the sky this afternoon in eastern Ontario and western Quebec and use the links at the left for WARNINGS or WATCHES or tune into local radio.
Thursday, October 18, 2007
Severe Thunderstorms over
Midwest & Gulf Coast
Storms to affect Ontario
A strong Colorado Low is slowly spinning into the Great Lakes at this hour with Heavy rain and fog causing travel delays in Ontario. Heavy rain is expected across Superior, and the Nickel Belt east into the Ottawa Valley. The trailing cold front has been producing a line of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes from Chicago to the Gulf Coast. Yesterday over 250 incidents of severe weather were reported along with two fatalities. Already today heavy thunderstorms produced tornadoes along the Florida Gulf Coast. Hardest hit so far was Pensacola, Fla. where a direct hit by a tornado was observed on a shopping mall and daycare facility. No word on injuries at this time from Sherrifs in Escambia County.
As the cold front slides east it will remain very mild ahead of the front in Ontario and Quebec. Heavy rain and thunderstorms will develop by daybreak Friday and spread east. Some storms may become locally severe in our area with wind and hail being the main threat. Watch for warnings and watches.
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
Monday, October 15, 2007
Greetings readers, sorry for the long absence. I was away in North Carolina for two weeks visiting the beautiful Outer Banks. We had very warm and humid weather for the duration of our trip, more like July. On our way home we even encountered summer like thunderstorms around Albany, NY.
All that went away quickly this weekend in Ontario, as a very fall type air mass took over. It was grey and cool with some showers and even some freezing drizzle in the Ottawa Valley. Frost occured on both Saturday and Sunday mornings. The weather this week will be uneventful. We are expecting fair weather tomorrow with seasonable temperatures followed by a milder but wet period Wednesday through Saturday.
I will post some new weather photos and vacation photos shortly.
Wednesday, September 19, 2007
Friday, September 14, 2007
Wednesday, September 12, 2007
Sunday, September 09, 2007
Looking a bit disorganized, Tropical Storm Gabrielle has moved inland over extreme eastern North Carolina near Cape Lookout with pounding surf and heavy rains. The weather seems to be confined to the eastern part of the state and along the Outer Banks. A tropical storm warning is in effect from Wilmington northward to Cape Charles, Va. The area is expected to feel the effects of the storm till tomorrow morning. The storm is expected to dump up to 4 inches of rain on the parched state. Most of the heavy thunderstorms are confined to the southeast quadrant of the system. Recently wind gusts to 49 mph were reported in Ocracoke and 45 mph at Cape Hatteras.
I know the area very well and will be down there in a few weeks, maybe chasing storms. Gabrielle should be swept out to sea tomorrow as a cold front moves south and east.
Thursday, September 06, 2007
Surprise nocturnal thunderstorms in North Grenville
The low pressure area southwest of Bermuda this morning has been very slow to develop. Interests along the east coast should continue to be aware of this threat. It is still expected to approach the coast of the Carolina's by Sunday night. In what form is yet to be determined, but expect windy rainy weather from the Outer Banks northward towards Long Island by the end of the weekend.
In local weather- a line of thunderstorms formed unexpectedly overnight. Thunder & lightning and around 5-10mm of rain occurred in Kemptville. We are expecting warm and humid weather today and Friday with highs around 30C (86F).
Wednesday, September 05, 2007
A Hurricane Hunter Recon flight is currently underway along the east coast of Florida about 350 miles out at sea. A an area of low pressure is expected to become TD7 and possibly Tropical Storm Gabrielle within the next 24 hours. The storm is then likely to retrograde back towards the coast as high pressure to the northeast blocks its movement. We could be seeing a tropical system moving along the coast from the Outer Banks northeastward towards New England by the weekend. There is still much uncertainty among computer models with many different scenarios as to the track of this potential storm. I will keep a close eye on the system and update the blog tomorrow morning.
Tuesday, September 04, 2007
Bits and Bites and a little complaining
Ah where to begin. First and foremost my battle with Bell continues. I have been waiting over a month for delivery of a modem promised to me in one to two business days from Bell Sympatico Internet Service. That was August 6. So far nothing so I am switching to Cogeco, I will let you know how that goes. So my entries have been limited, I apologize.
We have just witnessed a second Category 5 storm of the 2007 season to hit Central America. This is very far south for these storms, they are record breakers. Hurricane Felix followed Dean's path for awhile, but then moved a little more south into Honduras, Nicaragua and Belize. Winds gusted over 165mph as the storm roared inland with a 15-20 foot wall of water. The rain will be a big problem in the mountainous areas - with up to 20 inches of rain possible. Hurricane Mitch in 1998 hit this area with over 10,000 deaths reported mostly from flooding and mudslides. No deaths at this point.
Frost - you heard right frost is expected in the Adirondacks and Green Mountains tonight with lows around 32-37F expected. It will rebound into the 80 plus temperature range by Wednesday. You have to love fall in the north country. It should remain above freezing with no frost in North Grenville and the Seaway tonight.
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
Severe Thunderstorms are moving through Eastern Ontario tonight. Warnings and Watches have been posted for all areas. It was a very muggy day in the province with temperatures in the low thirties and very humid. A cold front is slicing into the muggy air with the result being several waves of storms. I was in west end Ottawa tonight experiencing one of the storms. It was fairly tame with the exception of the lightning, which was amazing. Several cells on radar in the upper Ottawa Valley are approaching severe limits - so more weather is on the way tonight.
Wednesday, August 22, 2007
Monday, August 20, 2007
Hurricane Dean is just shy of Category 5 status at this hour. The storm is located about 330 miles east of Belize City in the western Caribbean Sea heading slightly due north of west. The storm is expected to make landfall overnight tonight on the Yucatan south of Cozumel. The storm is then expected to cross the peninsula and emerge into the Gulf of Mexico before approaching Tampico on the Gulf Coast of Mexico Wednesday- possibly as a Category three hurricane. What all this means is that massive evacuations were expected along both coastlines as Dean approaches. Thousands of tourists were boarding planes away from the Yucatan yesterday and today.
It appears that the damage was extensive along the south coast of Jamaica but not as bad as feared. Ten deaths have been blamed on the storm so far. Residents in extreme south Texas near Brownsville were being asked to leave the low lying coastal areas prior to landfall in Mexico as a precaution.
Dean spares Jamaica
Serious damage - but it could have been worse
Hurricane Dean wobbled south of Jamaica yesterday producing heavy rain, mudslides and 115mph winds. It could have been far worse. The Cat 4 storm is moving west of the Island nation this morning and is about 415 miles from the Belize coast. The next target will be that country and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. The area will be hammered by the storm which we expect will be a Category 5 by then, producing 155mph winds and gusts to 185. The damage could be catastrophic in places. The area has just finished rebuilding from Wilma in 2005.
I apologize for the problems providing updates on this blog. My home computer is out and I am working on it. In the meantime the Hurricane City link on the left has all the latest information and links 0n the storm.
• The remains of Tropical Storm Erin meantime rung itself out over Oklahoma yesterday morning with 9 inches of rain in just a few hoursin and around King Fisher County. The result was severe flash flooding. At least 7 deaths were blamed on the storm. Numerous water rescues were carried out all day, reminiscent of Katrina in 2005. The storm is producing rain across Missouri, Kentucky and Illinois today.
Next update will be around 5pm today....
Friday, August 17, 2007
Thursday, August 16, 2007
Severe Thunderstorms in Ontario
Several lines of severe thunderstorms are passing across the St. Lawrence Valley and Eastern Ontario this afternoon. The air is very unstable and a weak cold front is slicing through it. Temperatures rose rapidly behind a warm front this morning up to around 29C.The storms should taper off by the supper hour.Warnings and Watches are in effect for all of eastern Ontario and Upstate New York.
Hurricane Dean continues to strengthen as it heads rapidly westward through the Atlantic and Caribbean. The storm is expected to brush the Lesser Antilles and Windward Islands tomorrow before taking aim at the Yucatan, Cozumel and Cancun. The storm is forecast to become a major Category 4 Hurricane by Sunday. All interests in the Gulf and Coastal Mexico should pay close attention to this potentially dangerous storm.
Meanwhile Tropical Storm Erin moved inland over south Texas northeast of Corpus Christie this morning with heavy rain, flooding and isolated tornadoes. Full details can be found at this link: http://www.kristv.com/Global/story.asp?S=6942390
Wednesday, August 15, 2007
Tuesday, August 14, 2007
The Tropics heat up
Hurricane Flossie is skirting the big island of Hawaii in the Pacific Ocean today. Towering waves of up to 25 feet are expected to cause some flooding along the south coast of the island. Also heavy rains may produce flash flooding and mudslides. Winds are expected in the 40-60mph range over extreme southern areas.
Meanwhile in the Atlantic midway between the African coast and the US Virgin Islands, we find Tropical Storm Dean. Forecasters are expecting Dean to continue moving towards the west northwest along the southern edge of the Bermuda high. By Friday the storm should be approaching the far eastern Caribbean Islands as a hurricane. All interest in the US southeast should monitor this storm as it looks to be the first of the season to threaten the area. Keep in mind we are over a week away from this happening if at all.