Saturday, March 09, 2024

Late season winter storm to impact parts of southern Quebec and Ontario

Some locations in southern Quebec are in for a rather rude reality check Sunday, with heavy wet snow expected for may parts of the province. The very warm weather of late, combined with the loss of snow cover has resulted in many perennial flowers starting to grow, especially here in Montreal.

A messy mix of rain and wet snow is forecast for Montreal through Monday morning, accompanied by gusty winds up to 60km/h. Some locations, especially north of the city, may receive significant amounts of wet snow. Details below.

Low pressure over central Ontario will deliver rain to Montreal Saturday afternoon, before weakening later today. A second area of low pressure is forecast to develop along the middle Atlantic coast and move northeast into southern New England. This storm will push abundant moisture into the region, while drawing marginally colder air southeast into southern Quebec. More rain this evening will change to snow overnight in most parts of southern Quebec. Temperatures will be mild Saturday, lowering close to the freezing point overnight into Sunday morning, and remaining there into Monday morning.

Widespread winter storm and snowfall warnings are currently in effect for a large portion of eastern Ontario, southern Quebec, northern New York and New England. They exclude metro Montreal at this time, but include the Quebec City region. Snowfall amounts will range from a few slushy centimetres in Montreal up to as much as 25cm in Quebec City. In Ontario, a general 5-10cm is expected in Ottawa, possibly approaching 15cm along the Seaway.

This is a very complex forecast, with the difference between rain and snow a very close call. Some locations will get a major storm, while others receive mostly rain. Travel will be difficult where snow is falling, and highly variable across the region. Consider postponing any unnecessary travel on Sunday. The risk for power outages is high, due to the weight of the snow and strong winds.

This story will be updated.

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