Friday, April 20, 2007

Spring has Sprung!

Hard to believe - but just a couple of days after the big April snow, we are snow free again. Just a few piles of "snirt" lying around in parking lots. Today's sunny, warm weather, with temperatures over 21C (70F) should put an end to that. So fire up the BBQ's and get the rake out it is going to be a spectacular weekend across our area.

By the way it took almost a week for the effects of that storm to leave us. Some time last evening the winds drifted out of the south putting an end to those cold, damp northeast winds that had been howling in our area since last Sunday. Enjoy the weather...please be safe.

Monday, April 16, 2007

Brockville this morning

Classic comma shape of Nor'Easter

Nor'Easter still pounding area


The powerful Storm centred near Long Island continues to pound our area with 50-80km/h winds and rain. Power is out to over 200,000 homes in Ontario and Quebec. So far 20cm of snow fell in the Ottawa to Brockville area with another 20-30mm of rain. Trees are down as are power lines. Flooding is also a problem as the snow begins to rapidly melt.


The most snow reported to date was Tupper Lake NY with 26 inches! In Ontario, Green Valley north of Cornwall had 25cm but Ottawa was not far behind. It was Kemptville's biggest storm of the winter, in April, go figure.



The rain and wind should taper off in Ontario and Quebec by tomorrow morning.




Flooding in New Jersey
This morning in Kemptville.....


15cm & counting...
Record Nor'Easter Slams area

The much anticipated nor'easter has delivered a hard hit to our area overnight. Heavy Snow began around midnight and has accumulated around 10cm in Kemptville and it continues to snow heavily. Visibility overnight was less than a km at times. The system this morning is near Long Island, NY. A dry slot and slightly milder air has moved into Montreal. At this time the precip is lighter there, but winds are fierce. A gust to 71km/h out of the northeast was reported in the last hour.

The weather is making for difficult travel with hundreds of flights cancelled in the east. Call ahead. Road travel is very difficult in a narrow band from Brockville to the Quebec border and north to Ottawa, with snow covered roads and low visibility. Power outages have been reported in NY State.

Yesterday the storm produced coastal flooding and a record 200mm (8 inches) of rain in Central Park. That was the second highest 24 hour total ever for NYC.

As expected, Environment Canada issued warnings at 0245 AM this morning, when everyone was sleeping, a full 24 hours after their US counterparts, for Heavy Snow in Eastern Ontario. I know it was a difficult forecast, but please! The MTO has been slow to respond with plowing this morning, but with no warnings in place, I imagine they were slow to react to the "rainy forecast" All in all this Nor'Easter behaved just as US forecasters said it would last Thursday. Needless to say travel safe today.

Sunday, April 15, 2007

Record Snowstorm
possible for our area

Portions of our area will receive a tremendous amount of Wet SNOW tonight and Monday. Where? Well that is the tough call. It is going depend heavily on where you live and what your local wind and temperatures are when the precipitation falls. This is Accu-Weather's take on the storm, well worth reading....

http://wwwa.accuweather.com/news-blogs.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&blog=anderson

Looking at all the sources today I think 10-20cm of wet snow will fall in most areas, Montreal especially north of the city, and Ottawa, Cornwall, Kingston, with some areas seeing over 30cm particularly the higher elevations. Wind will be a big factor 60-80km/h in places.

The precipitation will begin today as rain and change over to snow by midnight tonight. The system responsible is off the Carolina Coast today and will move to Southern New England Monday.

Travel will be greatly affected along the entire east coast. Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for New York and New England and Heavy Rain Warnings for The Townships with Heavy Snow Warnings for the Laurentians north of Montreal. As usual no warnings are out for Ontario. I imagine those will be issued, typically, after the event begins. No sarcasm there!

Saturday, April 14, 2007

Storm produces Tornadoes
across south.....
Snow expected in Kemptville

The big storm predicted to impact Ontario and Quebec spawned severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in North Texas last night killing one person. The storm is forecast to produce more severe weather across the US southeast before moving off the Carolina Coast Sunday. As it moves slowly north along the coast it will intensify rapidly. The storms wide circulation will produce coastal flooding and heavy precipitation.

Inland over interior sections of New England, Ontario and Quebec heavy wet snow will fall.
Here is what I think will happen in Kemptville. The rain snow line will be close for the duration of the storm but I feel it will go to all snow on Sunday night in Montreal and eastern Ontario. Amounts will vary due to topography and local temperatures but I feel 10-20cm of heavy wet snow is not out of the question by Monday morning. The snow will be whipped around by 30-60km/h winds form the northeast. It will be cold and miserable so stay home Sunday if you can and travel to work with great care Monday morning.

A Winter Storm Watch has been posted for all of upstate New York and Vermont. These may be extended northward into our areas later today.

Next update around 8pm tonight... The links at the left provide instant updates all day.

Friday, April 13, 2007

AP Photo of the day....Typical Spring 2007 scene in the
Eastern US and Canada.



Nor'Easter Sunday & Monday
could be record breaker

The Nor'Easter forecast to move up the Atlantic Coast late Sunday could be one for the record books. All indications are it will be a big snow maker for interior sections of the Northeast and Quebec and Ontario. Stay tuned. Below is a sat picture of the storm over the southwest US. Prepare for stormy weather Sunday and Monday.

Wednesday, April 11, 2007

Snow tonight!!

More snow is expected to overspread Eastern Ontario and Western Quebec tonight and Thursday. A Winter Storm Watch is still in effect for the valley area of upstate New York and Vermont. Warnings are in effect for the mountain areas. In Ontario and Quebec the snow should fall north of the 401/20. We can expect it to begin overnight and taper to flurries or showers by noon Thursday. Upwards of 8-13cm of snow may fall. It will be wet and heavy. The snow amounts will vary greatly by area depending on topography and the time of day the snow falls. This is very typical of a spring snowstorm, and it makes it hard to predict amounts. An example is last weeks storm in Montreal, no snow on the West Island and over 15cm on the south shore just 20 minutes to the southeast.

Adjust your speed tomorrow and be prepared for poor weather.

Tuesday, April 10, 2007

AP Picture of Snow in Cleveland...not baseball. Below: Valley Weather photo - the opening of the St. Lawrence Seaway is underway, a ship sails east towards St. Lambert Locks, Quebec.



Another spring snowstorm...

Greetings everyone! It has been a couple of days since my last post, busy with Easter and all. Speaking of Easter it was a cold one with temperatures 8-10 degrees below normal and endless snow shower activity. The snow has measured up to 15cm across portions of Ontario and Quebec and more in New England.

This brings me to today. More snow is coming. A complex storm over the Rockies is spreading snow into Saskatchewan and Alberta. As the storm moves east it will spread steady precipitation into Ontario Wednesday and Quebec Thursday. At present it looks like snow for our area. It could be a significant snow event. It is too early to tell. We will update this storm early Wednesday. Keep it in mind if you have travel plans tomorrow through Friday in the east. A special weather statement is out for Ontario, and Winter Storm Watches have already been posted for the storm battered area of New Hampshire. The 1-2 feet of wet snow in that area last Thursday knocked out power to thousands of homes, the worst since the 98 ice storm.


Next update at 7am Wednesday morning....

Wednesday, April 04, 2007

Late Season storm affects area

A late season winter storm is moving through the Great Lakes this afternoon with heavy snow and rain and the occasional rumble of thunder. The heavy rain in Kemptville, over 20mm expected, will switch over to a period of snow before ending tonight. Winds will become gusty to 50 km/h and stronger this afternoon. West of our area 15-25cm of snow is forecast north of Lakes Superior and Huron. South and east of our area Winter Storm Warnings have been posted for the Green and White Mountains and also in Southern Quebec and north of Montreal in the Laurentian Mountains where 20cm is expected.

It will be a windy and cold Easter Weekend with flurries and squalls. Travel will be poor in many areas tonight and Thursday and again on the weekend. Check the latest forecast before traveling this weekend.

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

Storm across southern Saskatchewan

A spring storm is expected to dump 10-15cm of snow across the extreme southwest portions of Saskatchewan tonight into Thursday. Hardest hit will be the Cypress Hills.

While Gravelbourg will be on the edge of the precipitation shield it will be affected by strong winds. Winds are expected to increase to the 50-70km/h range across the southland with gusts to 90km/h. Blizzard conditions may develop across the area closest to the Alberta border.

Winds and precipitation should subside from west to east early Thursday morning. Keep in mind that even where the rain falls, it may end as a period of wet snow Wednesday night, creating slick roads. Travel west into Alberta is not recommended tonight and tomorrow.

Monday, March 26, 2007

Cluster of storms along the 416 corridor into upstate New York...
First Thunderstorms of season

A big cluster of thunderstorms along a warm front is pushing into the North Grenville area this morning. A quick 10-15mm of rain with frequent lightning and thunder will occur east from the 416 towards Montreal till about noon. Lightning has already killed one person in Ontario this season. Remember to take cover when storms approach.

Sunday, March 25, 2007

Heavy snow along the 416 at 6pm Saturday... PHOTO J. O'Halloran

Surprise Snow pounds 416 Corridor

A wild snowsquall produced low visibilities in heavy snow from Ogdensburg to Kemptville yesterday afternoon around the supper hour. Rain was forecast, but the squall moved in rapidly surprising most motorists, including me. I rarely get caught off guard. A forecast high of 7C with rain assured me of a safe trip to Watertown, NY. The day started with a brilliant sunrise, but rain began at noon, and then winds switched to the east and the air cooled just enough for one of the heaviest shots of snow in this area all winter. From 5-10cm coated everything and it fell in under two hours. Numerous cars hit the ditches.

A more springlike high of 8C with showers and thunderstorms is expected tomorrow and Tuesday will be even warmer, near 20C in Ontario.


Above: Kemptville this morning...Most of the snow melted by 4pm.

Tuesday, March 20, 2007

The Canadian Coast Guard ship the Martha L. Black, a light icebreaker based in Quebec City today traveling towards Montreal after going through the locks in Iroquois, Ontario on the St. Lawrence River. First commercial ship traffic to begin this Wednesday.
Photo J. Morin

Happy Spring!!!!!!!

Vernal Equinox, 8:07 P.M. EDT
The word equinox is derived from the Latin words meaning "equal night." The vernal, or spring, equinox is the point at which the Sun appears to cross the celestial equator from south to north, signaling the beginning of nature's renewal in the Northern Hemisphere...Old Farmers Almanac

Saturday, March 17, 2007


St Patrick's Day Storm...

Snow is tapering off across the area with another 1-5cm expected in the area. Snow began in Kemptville around 9pm last night with the official measurement at 9cm. I have measured close to 15cm on my property so I am not sure why the big difference. In any event 15-25cm fell in most areas with winds of between 30-70km/h. Above and below are photos from this morning of the "9cm" of fresh snow, you be the judge.






Friday, March 16, 2007

Late Winter storm to slam area

A major storm system developing over the Mid-Atlantic Sates will move towards Boston overnight tonight. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for all of eastern Ontario excluding Ottawa, southern Quebec including Montreal, upstate New York and all of Vermont. Snow and blowing snow will overspread the area by 8pm and accumulate 15-25cm in most areas with 10-15cm in the Ottawa area. The snow will taper off Saturday afternoon. Already travel is being harshly affected in the northeast and expect more delay and cancellations in air travel. This comes on the heals of numerous flight cancellations from fog on Wednesday, ah March!

The snow will hamper Montreal's St Patrick's Day parade on Sunday, but the parade has seen major snow in the past. The storm is affecting the area very close to the anniversary of the March super storm in 1993.

If you can postpone travel Saturday please do so in southern Quebec and the 401 corridor.

Wednesday, March 14, 2007

The last of the Ice Fishing on the St. Lawrence River near Long Sault.
Photo: ValleyWeather

Warm temperatures and Flooding

Rapid & record warmth is melting the snow pack in a hurry. Area rivers are on the rise. A Flood Watch has been posted for upstate New York and New England. Adding to the flood potential is a slow moving cold front sagging south that is producing showers and the first thunderstorms of the season over Ontario and New York. 15-20mm of rain with isolated heavier amounts is possible over the next 24 hours. The temperature this morning in Kemptville was a warm 9C we are currently 12C, well above normal. Most of our snow disappeared overnight.

Speaking of snow, much colder air and low pressure developing over the US may provide us with a period of heavy wet snow Friday and Saturday. Forecasters use several computer models to help them prepare the forecast for any given area. All the models are proposing different scenarios at the moment, so there is not much confidence with the forecast. Stay tuned - updates to follow.

Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Spring has Sprung!

Spring is definitely making its presence known across most of southern Canada. Strong southwest winds in Saskatchewan pushed the mercury to the 20C mark in Maple creek, Gravelbourg and Assiniboia. Most of the snow is gone, and a dry southwest wind of 80-100km/h raced through the area. Peak gust was 102km/h in Maple creek.

The wind and record heat, 98F in Riverside California yesterday, fueled wildfires across southern California with fears of a long dry fire season in the west.

Meanwhile Ontario and Quebec are warming up. The mercury should be close to 10C today in many areas with near 20C in Windsor.

But.....

A strong cold front will bring us back to reality by Friday, with dare I say snow in the air...more on that later.

Friday, March 09, 2007

BIG Warm-up on the way

After the record setting cold of the last two nights a significant warm up is underway. It was -28C Wednesday morning, -26C yesterday and this morning in Kemptville. The transition will be marked by a little Freezing Rain in the St. Lawrence and Ottawa Valley's overnight. I have put the Special Weather Statement below. After the freezing rain, it will be mild right through next week with off and on showers. We could reach as high as 10C by mid-week.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA ONTARIO REGION. 4:34 AM EST FRIDAY9 MARCH 2007.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED FOR...
BANCROFT - BON ECHO PARK CITY OF OTTAWA GATINEAU PRESCOTT AND RUSSELL CORNWALL - MORRISBURG HALIBURTON RENFREW - PEMBROKE - BARRY'S BAY ALGONQUIN.

A WARM FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING OVER THESE REGIONS FRIDAY NIGHT. AT THIS POINT IT IS EXPECTED THAT PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SNOW OVERNIGHT AND SWITCH TO RAIN SATURDAY MORNING. THERE IS HOWEVER THE RISK OF SEVERAL HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE THE TRANSITION TO ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES IS COMPLETE. ENVIRONMENT CANADA IS MONITORING THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND WILL ISSUE A FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR THE APPROPRIATE AREAS IF AND WHEN IT BECOMES NECESSARY. LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION MAY ALSO BE FOUND BY CONSULTING THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECAST. http://www.weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/city/pages/on-74_metric_e.html

Tuesday, March 06, 2007



Numerous accidents across region...


There were scores of accidents yesterday as high winds and squalls created white outs across Ontario. The picture above was taken by the Editor of The Iroquois Chieftain, Joe Morin along Highway 2 between Morrisburg and Iroquois. It had to be closed after several cars hit the ditch.

There were serious accidents north of Toronto as well where 75 cars were involved in a pile up on highway 400. Numerous injuries, some serious occurred.
The wind ushered in the coldest air of the season. It was -26C in Kemptville this morning with wind chills approaching -40C