Thursday, December 09, 2010

More snow by the weekend

Heavy snow has closed down London, Ontario. Canadian Press photo.

The next storm is on the horizon, but first one more comment on this last storm. To show you how difficult a forecast it was, Montreal received 32cm at the airport or about 13" with perhaps a little more in the off island suburbs. Meanwhile Plattsburgh, NY, less than 1 hour to our south had nothing. Parts of Vermont had nearly 75cm of snow while the greater Burlington region had less than 15cm. This storm in the most simple explanation possible moved the wrong way and produced wind and snow where it would normally have not and produced rain where they usually receive snow.

Now I wish the next system would behave, but computer models are having trouble with this one as well. There has been no consistency from run to run. It appears snow will start late Saturday in Ontario and spread north and east into Quebec. This system will have warmer air so the threat for ice and rain exists as well. It is too early to pinpoint amounts and type of precipitation, but it looks significant for Montreal, Ottawa and the entire St. Lawrence Valley. Behind it all, early next week, the coldest air of the season will pour into the region with flurries and gusty winds.

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