Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Unsettled weather

We have a rather wet morning in Montreal and across southern Quebec today with mix of very light rain and snow that has been falling since about midnight. The temperature is currently a mild plus 3C (38F) here on L'Ile Perrot with a light south wind. A frontal system moving across the area will continue the light precipitation until about the noon hour followed by some partial clearing. The clearing will be very short as the next weak system is poised to move across the region tonight. The leading edge of light snow will move into Montreal late this evening with about 2-4cm forecast. This will taper off early tomorrow morning and likely melt quickly as temperatures rise above freezing once again to plus 2C. Friday we have a stronger system that is still giving the computer models fits and starts. Both the reliable European and American models take the system across the region Friday but at different strengths and with different temperature profiles. The European model even develops a second storm off the east coast near Cape Cod for Saturday. The best we can tell this far out is that we will have rain and snow both Friday and Saturday with perhaps a gusty wind. We will have to pay close attention to this, and I am, so check back later today or follow my twitter account for updates. There is the potential for a significant event and being that it has been such a quiet winter, any snow may cause travel delays.

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