|From the National Hurricane Center, the potential path of soon to be Tropical Storm Isaac as we head into this weekend.|
The tropics have been fairly active lately, but with most systems being rather weak or disorganized and affecting largely the open ocean. That may be about to change as we have TD 9 in the Atlantic Ocean this morning, 1150 kilometres east of the Leeward Islands. This storm will likely become tropical storm Isaac by later today as winds exceed 39mph. At this time forecasters expect Isaac to become a major system approaching and passing through the Leeward and Windward Islands by Thursday before heading for Puerto Rico. Conditions for this system to develop into a hurricane are ideal with little shear and lots of warm water. We are looking at the potential for a major hurricane by the weekend and into next week. At this time impacts to the US are difficult to assess, but we will ave a storm heading across the Caribbean Sea and possibly towards south Florida or the Gulf. Keep in mind that we are entering the most active time of the tropical season. As a side note, since 2001 the WMO has retired 7 "I" storms including Irene from 2011 that left her mark up and down the east coast from Caper Hatteras to Vermont, southern Quebec and Atlantic Canada. Forecasters are also watching two other areas of interest one just off the African coast and the second area in the southern Gulf of Mexico east of Veracruz, Mexico.