Monday, January 16, 2012

More snow and freezing rain

Reality has settled in across most of Canada today as the cold continues in the east and returns to the west. It was a frigid 24 hours here in Montreal with the mercury bottoming out at -26C on Ile Perrot yesterday morning. As I write we just dropped to -24C. It is "warmer" downtown and at the airport at -18C. Winds are not a factor today as they were most of the day yesterday. They are however expected to pick up once again today as low pressure approaches from the US. Meanwhile it is just plain cold in Alberta and the prairies as a piece of that arctic air affecting Alaska begins to settle south. Edmonton is at -26C this morning, and that is it folks. The temperature will actually stay steady or fall today to lows around -31C. The entire week looks cold.

Here in southern Quebec and Ontario we are looking for an increase in southwest winds today ahead of a storm gathering strength in the US Midwest. This system will move down the St. Lawrence Valley and very near Montreal tomorrow. The best forecast at this time calls for snow to start overnight and accumulate 5 to 10cm in Montreal and Ottawa before changing to freezing rain and eventually rain south of the St. Lawrence on Tuesday. There is still some conflict between computer models on the exact track of the low, and that as we know will affect precipitation type and intensity. If I was a betting man, I would lean towards more snow than rain. In any event all precip will end as a period of snow overnight Tuesday, and it will turn blustery and much colder again. At this time we only have a special weather statement out from Environment Canada. It is likely that some type of warning will be issued for a portion of our region. I will update this as the information become available.

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